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Zob Ahan vs Shams Azar Qazvin

Iran Iran

Persian Gulf Pro League Foolad Shahr Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zob Ahan play Shams Azar Qazvin in the Persian Gulf Pro League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Zob Ahan averaged 0.77 goals scored and 1.08 conceded. Shams Azar Qazvin averaged 0.7 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. In past meetings, Zob Ahan won 2, Shams Azar Qazvin won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Dec 17, 2025 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.56 for Zob Ahan and 0.69 for Shams Azar Qazvin. This points to a Zob Ahan double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Zob Ahan
35%
Draws
29%
Shams Azar Qazvin
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Zob Ahan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Zob Ahan picked up more points recently compared to Shams Azar Qazvin.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.56 vs 0.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 52%
Over 2.5 Goals 28%
Over 3.5 Goals 17%
Over 4.5 Goals 8%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33%
Zob Ahan Clean Sheet 28%
Shams Azar Qazvin Clean Sheet 22%
First Half Goal 47%
Second Half Goal 49%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zob Ahan Shams Azar Qazvin
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 5 4
Draws 11 13
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 0.77 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.08 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 17, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Zob Ahan vs Shams Azar Qazvin
0:0
Apr 11, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Shams Azar Qazvin vs Zob Ahan
1:1
Dec 1, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Zob Ahan vs Shams Azar Qazvin
3:0
Apr 6, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Zob Ahan vs Shams Azar Qazvin
0:2
Oct 5, 2023 Persian Gulf Pro League
Shams Azar Qazvin vs Zob Ahan
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zob Ahan 38 / 100
Shams Azar Qazvin 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zob Ahan Shams Azar Qazvin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Zob Ahan or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +28.5%
3.57
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +27.4%
4.55
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Zob Ahan attacking → ← attacking Shams Azar Qazvin

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zob Ahan scored in 38% of their last 26 games.

Shams Azar Qazvin let in goals in 59% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Zob Ahan went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Shams Azar Qazvin lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 25
0.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Esteghlal TEH22118329:1641
2Tractor22109330:1239
3Sepahan22116524:1339
4Gol Gohar23106724:2436
5Chadormalu2298527:1935
6Persepolis2297623:1934
7Foolad22710521:1631
8Fajr Sepasi2386925:2730
9Kheybar Khorramabad2378822:2429
10Malavan2278713:2129
11Esteghlal Khuzestan2267916:2325
12Paykan2359915:2124
13Shams Azar Qazvin23313715:1922
14Aluminium Arak22571014:2122
15Zob Ahan21310812:1919
16Mes Rafsanjan22361313:2915