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Zonguldak Komurspor vs Karabuk Idmanyurdu

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Turkozu M. F.
Assist: Bastan S.
16' Event
Bostan R.
Own Goal
90' Event
Kaya M. M.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 3 2025/2026 game between Zonguldak Komurspor and Karabuk Idmanyurdu finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zonguldak Komurspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Zonguldak Komurspor
33%
Draws
40%
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Karabuk Idmanyurdu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Zonguldak Komurspor come out ahead of Karabuk Idmanyurdu on wins alone.
  • Karabuk Idmanyurdu are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Zonguldak Komurspor Clean Sheet 16%
Karabuk Idmanyurdu Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zonguldak Komurspor Karabuk Idmanyurdu
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 13
Draws 6 5
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 3. Lig Group 3
Zonguldak Komurspor vs Karabuk Idmanyurdu
3:0
Sep 28, 2025 3. Lig Group 3
Karabuk Idmanyurdu vs Zonguldak Komurspor
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zonguldak Komurspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Turkozu M. F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kaya M. M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Karabuk Idmanyurdu Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zonguldak Komurspor 28 / 100
Karabuk Idmanyurdu 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zonguldak Komurspor Karabuk Idmanyurdu

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zonguldak Komurspor scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Zonguldak Komurspor remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Karabuk Idmanyurdu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Zonguldak Komurspor VS Karabuk Idmanyurdu
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sebat Spor Kulubu30207356:2367
252 Orduspor30184868:3058
3Karadeniz Eregli30169544:2957
4Yozgat30176758:2757
5Fatsa Bld.301541140:3249
6Zonguldak Komurspor301371048:3046
7Pazarspor301110929:3143
8Karabuk Idmanyurdu301251332:4741
9Duzcespor301171230:3640
10Tokat Bld Plevnespor301061431:3836
11Orduspor 196730971435:5134
12Amasyaspor30961528:4033
13Hopaspor30951638:5032
14Bulancakspor30851730:6029
15Cayeli SK30591625:4624
16Giresunspor30491721:4321