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Zorya vs Kryvbas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ukraine Ukraine

Ukrainian Cup
Thu, Oct 29, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Ukrainian Cup. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Kryvbas have shipped 1.78 goals a game lately, while Zorya have conceded 1.21 and scored 1.46. Past meetings favor Kryvbas slightly — 0-5-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 9, 2026, ending 1:3. xG projections (1.38 - 0.88) back Zorya to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Zorya
20%
Draws
23%
Kryvbas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Zorya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Zorya have won more games recently than Kryvbas.
  • Win probability leans Zorya's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Zorya have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Kryvbas, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Kryvbas here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Zorya Clean Sheet 20%
Kryvbas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zorya Kryvbas
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 12 9
Draws 7 5
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.46 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Premier League
Zorya vs Kryvbas
1:3
Mar 1, 2026 Premier League
Kryvbas vs Zorya
3:1
Aug 18, 2025 Premier League
Zorya vs Kryvbas
2:3
Apr 20, 2025 Premier League
Kryvbas vs Zorya
3:0
Oct 20, 2024 Premier League
Zorya vs Kryvbas
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zorya 85 / 100
Kryvbas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zorya Kryvbas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zorya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Zorya scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Kryvbas conceded in 81% of 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Zorya stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zorya VS Kryvbas
1.38 Goals Scored 0.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Zorya

(Home)
24 Oct
Shakhtar
0 : 0
Zorya
17 Oct
Zorya
2 : 1
Ch. Odesa
12 Oct
Livyi Bereg
1 : 3
Zorya
04 Oct
Kolos Kovalivka
1 : 2
Zorya
19 Sept
Zorya
0 : 2
Dynamo Kyiv
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Kryvbas

(Away)
25 Oct
Bukovyna
0 : 0
Kryvbas
18 Oct
Kryvbas
0 : 3
LNZ Cherkasy
02 Oct
Shakhtar
3 : 0
Kryvbas
18 Sept
Polissya Zhytomyr
1 : 0
Kryvbas
08 Sept
Olympia Savyntsi
0 : 2
Kryvbas
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Ch. Odesa 0
FC Vilkhivtsi 1
TBD -
Shakhtar -
Nyva Vinnytsya 3
Rukh Lviv 2
Dynamo Kyiv -
TBD -
Bukovyna 4
Nyva Ternopil 0
TBD -
LNZ Cherkasy -
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 1
Victoria 3
Penuel Kryvyi Rih 0
Metalist Kharkiv 1
Kolos Polonne 1
Trostyanets 2
LSTM Lutsk 1
FC Chernihiv 2
Karbon Cherkasy 1
Pokuttia Kolomyia 0
Epitsentr 2
To4ka Odessa 1
TBD -
Polissya Zhytomyr -
Lozova 1
Kudrivka 6
Novyi Rozdil 2
Atlet Kiev 1
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka 2
Vilkhivtsi Ivano Frankivsk 1
Mayak Sarny 1
SC Poltava 0
Druzhba-Kozaky 3
Bazys Kochubiyivka 5
Reshetylivka 1
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 4
FC Kharkiv 9
Kalynivka 0
Dinaz Vyshgorod 0
Fenix Mariupol 6
Skala 1911 0
Zorya 6
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 1
Olympia Savyntsi 2
Kryvbas 3
Rokyta 0
Kolos Kovalivka 3
UCSA 0
Karpaty Lviv 2
Obolon 0
Lokomotyv Kyiv 1
Probiy Horodenka 3
Bratslav Vinnytsia 0
Oleksandriya 2
Rebel Kyiv 0
Ahrobiznes Volochysk 4
Dnister Zalishchyky 0
Livyi Bereg 3
Kulikiv 2
Palmira Odesa 1
Veres Rivne 4
Inhulets 1
1/16-finals
FC Vilkhivtsi 0
Shakhtar 3
Nyva Vinnytsya 0
Dynamo Kyiv 1
Bukovyna 0
LNZ Cherkasy 1
Victoria 0
Metalist Kharkiv 1
Trostyanets 2
FC Chernihiv 4
Karbon Cherkasy 0
Epitsentr 3
Polissya Zhytomyr 2
Kudrivka 0
Novyi Rozdil 3
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka 1
Mayak Sarny 4
Bazys Kochubiyivka 1
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 0
FC Kharkiv 2
Fenix Mariupol 0
Zorya 2
Olympia Savyntsi 0
Kryvbas 2
Kolos Kovalivka 2
Karpaty Lviv 3
Probiy Horodenka 1
Oleksandriya 2
Ahrobiznes Volochysk 1
Livyi Bereg 2
Kulikiv 0
Veres Rivne 1
1/8-finals
Shakhtar -
Dynamo Kyiv -
LNZ Cherkasy -
Metalist Kharkiv -
FC Chernihiv -
Epitsentr -
Polissya Zhytomyr -
Novyi Rozdil -
Mayak Sarny -
FC Kharkiv -
Zorya -
Kryvbas -
Karpaty Lviv -
Oleksandriya -
Livyi Bereg 0
Veres Rivne 1
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -