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Zorya vs Kryvbas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ukraine Ukraine

Premier League Stadion Valerija Lobanovskoho, Kyiv
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Mpanzu J.
Own Goal
44'
Mpanzu J.
46'
Sub
Satchwell S. In: Mulyk V.
Out: Satchwell S.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Zorya and Kryvbas finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kryvbas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Zorya
30%
Draws
23%
Kryvbas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Zorya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Kryvbas have managed 1.59 goals a game lately — Zorya are scoring more at 1.6.
  • Win probability leans Zorya's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Kryvbas have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Zorya Clean Sheet 16%
Kryvbas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zorya Kryvbas
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 8 6
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.6 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Premier League
Zorya vs Kryvbas
1:3
Mar 1, 2026 Premier League
Kryvbas vs Zorya
3:1
Aug 18, 2025 Premier League
Zorya vs Kryvbas
2:3
Apr 20, 2025 Premier League
Kryvbas vs Zorya
3:0
Oct 20, 2024 Premier League
Zorya vs Kryvbas
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zorya Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Kryvbas Compare

Top Goalscorer Seck A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Herbert G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zorya 57 / 100
Kryvbas 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zorya Kryvbas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zorya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Zorya scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Kryvbas let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Zorya stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zorya VS Kryvbas
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Zorya

(Home)
04 Oct
Kolos Kovalivka
1 : 2
Zorya
19 Sept
Zorya
0 : 2
Dynamo Kyiv
13 Sept
Bukovyna
1 : 1
Zorya
09 Sept
Fenix Mariupol
0 : 2
Zorya
06 Sept
Veres Rivne
1 : 1
Zorya
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Kryvbas

(Away)
02 Oct
Shakhtar
3 : 0
Kryvbas
18 Sept
Polissya Zhytomyr
1 : 0
Kryvbas
08 Sept
Olympia Savyntsi
0 : 2
Kryvbas
05 Sept
Kryvbas
2 : 2
Kolos Kovalivka
30 Aug
Ch. Odesa
1 : 0
Kryvbas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhtar 8 7 0 1 18:4 21
2 Polissya Zhytomyr 7 6 0 1 15:5 18
3 Karpaty Lviv 7 4 2 1 15:5 14
4 Dynamo Kyiv 6 4 1 1 9:5 13
5 FC Kharkiv 6 4 0 2 12:4 12
6 Veres Rivne 8 2 3 3 6:9 9
7 Epitsentr 7 2 2 3 6:7 8
8 LNZ Cherkasy 7 2 2 3 5:8 8
9 Zorya 7 2 2 3 7:11 8
10 Livyi Bereg 6 1 4 1 4:3 7
11 Bukovyna 7 1 4 2 4:6 7
12 Ch. Odesa 6 1 2 3 3:7 5
13 Kolos Kovalivka 6 1 2 3 6:10 5
14 Kryvbas 6 1 2 3 7:10 5
15 Obolon 7 0 4 3 2:12 4
16 Kudrivka 7 0 2 5 5:18 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)