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ZPC Kariba vs Bulawayo Chiefs

Zimbabwe Zimbabwe

Premier Soccer League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premier Soccer League game between ZPC Kariba and Bulawayo Chiefs finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
ZPC Kariba
20%
Draws
34%
Bulawayo Chiefs
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: ZPC Kariba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bulawayo Chiefs come out ahead of ZPC Kariba on wins alone.
  • Model gives ZPC Kariba a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
ZPC Kariba Clean Sheet 20%
Bulawayo Chiefs Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ZPC Kariba Bulawayo Chiefs
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 5 7
Draws 16 10
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 0.57 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Premier Soccer League
Bulawayo Chiefs vs ZPC Kariba
1:0
Apr 22, 2026 Premier Soccer League
ZPC Kariba vs Bulawayo Chiefs
1:1
Nov 10, 2024 Premier Soccer League
Bulawayo Chiefs vs ZPC Kariba
0:0
Jun 22, 2024 Premier Soccer League
ZPC Kariba vs Bulawayo Chiefs
0:0
Aug 19, 2023 Premier Soccer League
Bulawayo Chiefs vs ZPC Kariba
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ZPC Kariba 49 / 100
Bulawayo Chiefs 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ZPC Kariba Bulawayo Chiefs

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZPC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Bulawayo Chiefs conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: ZPC Kariba remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Bulawayo Chiefs's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: ZPC Kariba scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

ZPC Kariba VS Bulawayo Chiefs
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

ZPC Kariba

(Home)
01 Aug
ZPC Kariba
0 : 0
Dynamos
26 Jul
Bulawayo Chiefs
1 : 0
ZPC Kariba
22 Jul
ZPC Kariba
1 : 0
Highlanders
18 Jul
TelOne
0 : 1
ZPC Kariba
11 Jul
ZPC Kariba
1 : 1
Hunters
Page 1 of 6

Bulawayo Chiefs

(Away)
01 Aug
Chicken Inn
1 : 2
Bulawayo Chiefs
26 Jul
Bulawayo Chiefs
1 : 0
ZPC Kariba
22 Jul
Scottland
2 : 1
Bulawayo Chiefs
18 Jul
Bulawayo Chiefs
0 : 1
Platinum
11 Jul
Simba Bhora
2 : 0
Bulawayo Chiefs
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scottland 25 15 8 2 39:8 53
2 Hardrock 26 15 6 5 44:17 51
3 Dynamos 25 11 12 2 36:18 45
4 Herentals 26 13 6 7 29:22 45
5 Ngezi Platinum 26 11 11 4 31:23 44
6 CAPS Utd 26 11 9 6 32:24 42
7 Highlanders 25 8 13 4 23:19 37
8 MWOS 26 8 11 7 23:20 35
9 Simba Bhora 26 8 10 8 27:26 34
10 Chicken Inn 25 9 6 10 19:22 33
11 Platinum 26 6 14 6 17:20 32
12 Bulawayo Chiefs 26 7 9 10 23:29 30
13 ZPC Kariba 26 5 13 8 16:21 28
14 Hunters 26 5 12 9 20:31 27
15 Agama 26 5 7 14 16:34 22
16 TelOne 26 4 8 14 17:34 20
17 Manica 26 4 7 15 14:40 19
18 Triangle 26 3 6 17 16:34 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)