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Zrece vs Ljutomer

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - East 2019/2020
Zrece Logo

Zrece

3 - 2
FT
Ljutomer Logo

Ljutomer

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3. SNL - East 2019/2020 game between Zrece and Ljutomer finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zrece.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Zrece
15%
Draws
64%
Ljutomer
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ljutomer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Ljutomer carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Ljutomer taking it.
  • Regular 3. SNL - East 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Zrece have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Zrece Clean Sheet 20%
Ljutomer Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zrece Ljutomer
Matches Played 39 39
Wins 11 13
Draws 5 10
Losses 23 16
Goals Scored 1.36 1.9
Goals Conceded 2.05 1.92
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2019 3. SNL - East
Zrece vs Ljutomer
3:2
Apr 24, 2013 3. SNL - East
Zrece vs Ljutomer
0:0
Aug 25, 2012 3. SNL - East
Ljutomer vs Zrece
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zrece 20 / 100
Ljutomer 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zrece Ljutomer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ljutomer Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ljutomer conceded in 82% of 39 recent games.

Zrece scored in 69% of their last 39 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Zrece remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ljutomer
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Zrece

(Home)
02 Nov
Zrece
0 : 2
Rudar
28 May
Zrece
3 : 2
Korotan Prevalje
22 May
SD Videm
4 : 2
Zrece
15 May
Zrece
0 : 1
Cirkulane
07 May
Dobrovce
4 : 1
Zrece
Page 1 of 8

Ljutomer

(Away)
05 Sept
Hajdina
3 : 1
Ljutomer
29 Aug
Ljutomer
3 : 0
Sampion Celje
22 Aug
Odranci
3 : 1
Ljutomer
15 Aug
Ljutomer
3 : 0
Dobrovce
23 May
Ljutomer
6 : 4
SD Videm
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 NK Smartno 11 8 2 1 37:19 26
2 Podvinci 11 6 4 1 22:9 22
3 Dravinja 11 6 2 3 41:20 20
4 Odranci 11 6 2 3 24:14 20
5 Zrece 11 6 1 4 20:16 19
6 Sampion Celje 11 5 2 4 32:14 17
7 Korotan Prevalje 11 5 1 5 21:15 16
8 Ljutomer 11 4 3 4 23:24 15
9 Bistrica 11 3 4 4 21:20 13
10 SD Videm 11 4 0 7 19:27 12
11 Verzej 11 1 2 8 11:39 5
12 Radgona 11 0 1 10 2:56 1
Promotion - Prva liga 2020/2021 (Main)