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Zrinski Osjecko vs Moslavina

Croatia Croatia

Croatian Cup 2024/2025 Stadion Gradski vrt
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zrinski Osjecko play Moslavina in the Croatian Cup 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Zrinski Osjecko averaged 0.58 goals scored and 2.13 conceded. Moslavina averaged 1.17 goals scored and 2.17 conceded. In past meetings, Zrinski Osjecko won 1, Moslavina won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 28, 2024 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.94 for Zrinski Osjecko and 1.25 for Moslavina. This points to a Moslavina double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Zrinski Osjecko
21%
Draws
52%
Moslavina
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Moslavina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Zrinski Osjecko picked up more points recently compared to Moslavina.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.94 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%
Zrinski Osjecko Clean Sheet 19%
Moslavina Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zrinski Osjecko Moslavina
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 1 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 23 15
Goals Scored 0.58 1.17
Goals Conceded 2.13 2.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2024 Croatian Cup
Zrinski Osjecko vs Moslavina
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zrinski Osjecko Compare

Top Goalscorer Pejic P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Vukusic A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Moslavina Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zrinski Osjecko 28 / 100
Moslavina 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zrinski Osjecko Moslavina

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Moslavina or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +42%
5.26
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Zrinski Osjecko attacking → ← attacking Moslavina

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zrinski Osjecko scored in 35% of their last 31 games.

Moslavina let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Zrinski Osjecko went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Moslavina lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

10 Points in last 5 33
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.00