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Zumbi vs Igaci

Brazil Brazil

Copa Alagoas 2025
Wed, Feb 12, 2025
3 - 0
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Copa Alagoas 2025. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Zumbi have averaged 1.39 scored and 0.77 conceded recently, against Igaci's 0.81 scored and 1.62 conceded. Head-to-head, Zumbi have won 2 to Igaci's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 12, 2025, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.35 vs 1.25, favoring Zumbi. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Zumbi
20%
Draws
0%
Igaci
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Zumbi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Igaci haven't matched Zumbi's recent run of results.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Zumbi taking it.
  • Zumbi have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Zumbi, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58.2%
Zumbi Clean Sheet 19%
Igaci Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zumbi Igaci
Matches Played 31 26
Wins 15 8
Draws 8 3
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.39 0.81
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2025 Copa Alagoas
Zumbi vs Igaci
3:0
Nov 9, 2024 Alagoano 2
Zumbi vs Igaci
0:1
Nov 2, 2024 Alagoano 2
Igaci vs Zumbi
0:0
Sep 25, 2024 Alagoano 2
Zumbi vs Igaci
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zumbi 85 / 100
Igaci 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zumbi Igaci

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zumbi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Igaci lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Zumbi found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

Igaci let in goals in 62% of their last 26 matches.

Zumbi has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Zumbi VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Zumbi

(Home)
31 May
Sporting FC
2 : 2
Zumbi
24 May
Zumbi
0 : 2
Sporting FC
17 May
Zumbi
1 : 0
Alianca
10 May
Alianca
0 : 0
Zumbi
02 May
Miguelense
0 : 1
Zumbi
Page 1 of 7

Igaci

(Away)
12 Mar
Igaci
0 : 3
CRB
01 Mar
SC Penedense
3 : 0
Igaci
19 Feb
Igaci
0 : 3
Coruripe
12 Feb
Zumbi
3 : 0
Igaci
08 Feb
Murici
3 : 0
Igaci
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Penedense 6 4 1 1 19:3 13
2 Coruripe 6 4 0 2 7:3 12
3 CRB 6 3 2 1 13:2 11
4 Zumbi 6 3 2 1 12:3 11
5 Murici 6 3 1 2 12:7 10
6 Dimensao Capela 6 2 0 4 6:13 6
Promotion - Copa Alagoas 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Clube Sociedade Esportiva 6 6 0 0 11:1 18
2 CSA 6 2 3 1 5:5 9
3 ASA 6 2 1 3 8:5 7
4 Guarany Alagoano 6 1 2 3 6:11 5
5 Igaci 6 0 0 6 0:18 0
6 Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense 6 0 0 6 1:29 0
Promotion - Copa Alagoas 2025 (Play Offs)