Sport Picks
Match Events
108'
108'
Bah M.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-0, with Zurrieq advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zurrieq
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Zurrieq come out ahead of Mellieha on wins alone.
- Model gives Zurrieq a 57% chance of winning this.
- Zurrieq have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Zurrieq, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Zurrieq Clean Sheet 20%
Mellieha Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Zurrieq | Mellieha |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 10 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 15 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.76 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 2.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.54 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 10, 2025 FA Trophy
Zurrieq vs Mellieha
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Zurrieq 76 / 100
Mellieha 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Zurrieq Mellieha
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Zurrieq Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Zurrieq scored in 85% of their last 34 games.
Defensive concern: Mellieha conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.
Difficult form: Mellieha registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Zurrieq VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Zurrieq
(Home) 19 Sept
Zurrieq
1 : 2 Victoria Hotspurs
12 Sept
Sirens
1 : 0 Zurrieq
18 Apr
Zurrieq
4 : 2 Mgarr
12 Apr
Santa Lucia
3 : 0 Zurrieq
01 Apr
Zurrieq
2 : 1 Marsa
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Zurrieq
1 : 2 Victoria Hotspurs
18 Apr
Zurrieq
4 : 2 Mgarr
01 Apr
Zurrieq
2 : 1 Marsa
15 Mar
Zurrieq
3 : 3 Zebbug
04 Mar
Zurrieq
1 : 2 Naxxar Lions
Page 1 of 4
Mellieha
(Away) 10 Jan
Zurrieq
1 : 0 Mellieha
07 Dec
Tarxien
1 : 2 Mellieha
08 Dec
Vittoriosa
2 : 0 Mellieha
26 Oct
Mellieha
1 : 4 Swieqi
02 Dec
Mellieha
0 : 5 Lija
Page 1 of 6
10 Jan
Zurrieq
1 : 0 Mellieha
07 Dec
Tarxien
1 : 2 Mellieha
08 Dec
Vittoriosa
2 : 0 Mellieha
10 Sept
Mdina
2 : 3 Mellieha
25 Oct
Lija
2 : 1 Mellieha
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Fgura -
TBD -
TBD -
Attard -
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
Balzan FC -
Gudja -
TBD -
TBD -
Gzira -
Valletta 3
Nadur 1
Mgarr 2
Victoria Wanderers 3
Xaghra -
TBD -
Victoria Hotspurs 3
Senglea 0
Floriana -
TBD -
TBD -
Xewkija -
Marsaxlokk -
TBD -
TBD -
Mosta FC -
Sirens 3
Santa Lucia 1
TBD -
Qrendi -
Lija -
TBD -
TBD -
Zabbar -
Hamrun -
TBD -
Swieqi 1
Mtarfa 0
Pieta -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsa -
Sliema -
TBD -
TBD -
Ghajnsielem -
Qala Saints -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Andrews -
Hibernians -
TBD -
Zebbug 6
Oratory 1
Zurrieq -
TBD -
Tarxien 1
Mellieha 2
Naxxar Lions -
TBD -
TBD -
Melita -
1/16-finals
Fgura 3
Attard 1
Birkirkara 2
Balzan FC 1
Gudja 0
Gzira 5
Valletta 4
Victoria Wanderers 0
Xaghra 1
Victoria Hotspurs 5
Floriana 2
Xewkija 0
Marsaxlokk 0
Mosta FC 3
Sirens 0
Qrendi 2
Lija 0
Zabbar 5
Hamrun 5
Swieqi 0
Pieta 1
Marsa 5
Sliema 8
Ghajnsielem 0
Qala Saints 2
St. Andrews 0
Hibernians 3
Zebbug 0
Zurrieq 1
Mellieha 0
Naxxar Lions 4
Melita 2
1/8-finals
Fgura 0
Birkirkara 3
Gzira 0
Valletta 1
Victoria Hotspurs 1
Floriana 4
Mosta FC 4
Qrendi 0
Zabbar 1
Hamrun 2
Marsa 0
Sliema 4
Qala Saints 0
Hibernians 3
Zurrieq 0
Naxxar Lions 4
Quarter-finals
Birkirkara 3
Valletta 1
Floriana 2
Mosta FC 0
Hamrun 2
Sliema 0
Hibernians 2
Naxxar Lions 0
Semi-finals
Birkirkara 2
Floriana 1
Hamrun 1
Hibernians 2
Final
Birkirkara 1
Hibernians 2
