Sport Picks

Bosnia and Herzegovina

Prva Liga - RS

Sloboda Novi Grad

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Zvornik host Sloboda Novi Grad in the Prva Liga - RS. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Zvornik have averaged 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded recently, against Sloboda Novi Grad's 0 scored and 0 conceded. Past meetings favor Zvornik slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 21, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.35 vs 0.75, favoring Sloboda Novi Grad. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Zvornik

33%

Draws

27%

Sloboda Novi Grad

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Zvornik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Zvornik come out ahead of Sloboda Novi Grad on wins alone.
Model gives Zvornik a 40% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%

Zvornik Clean Sheet 20%

Sloboda Novi Grad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Zvornik	Sloboda Novi Grad
Matches Played	28	8
Wins	11	5
Draws	6	1
Losses	11	2
Goals Scored	1.5	0
Goals Conceded	0.5	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Prva Liga - RS

Zvornik vs Sloboda Novi Grad

Possession: 52% - 54% Cards: 1 - 0

0:0

Sep 24, 2025 Prva Liga - RS

Sloboda Novi Grad vs Zvornik

Possession: 48% - 47% Cards: 1 - 2

0:0

Mar 8, 2025 Prva Liga - RS

Sloboda Novi Grad vs Zvornik

Possession: 50% - 53% Cards: 1 - 2

2:0

Aug 17, 2024 Prva Liga - RS

Zvornik vs Sloboda Novi Grad

Possession: 60% - 44% Cards: 2 - 1

1:1

May 10, 2023 Prva Liga - RS

Zvornik vs Sloboda Novi Grad

Possession: 42% - 51% Cards: 2 - 1

7:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zvornik 40 / 100

Sloboda Novi Grad 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Zvornik Sloboda Novi Grad

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DRI Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zvornik scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Sloboda Novi Grad conceded in 63% of 8 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Zvornik stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zvornik VS Sloboda Novi Grad

1.5 Goals Scored 0

0.5 Goals Conceded 0

50% Over 1.5 0%

38% Over 2.5 0%

25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Laktasi	24	14	6	4	45:16	48
2	BSK Banja Luka	24	14	5	5	38:19	47
3	Leotar	24	12	10	2	37:15	46
4	Kozara	24	10	6	8	24:25	36
5	Slavija	24	9	8	7	28:23	35
6	Zvornik	24	10	4	10	36:20	34
7	Zvijezda 09	24	8	6	10	23:31	30
8	Sutjeska Foca	24	8	5	11	31:34	29
9	Romanija Pale	24	8	4	12	24:31	28
10	Nevesinje	24	8	3	13	27:41	27
11	Famos Vojkovici	24	7	6	11	22:40	27
12	Omarska	24	7	4	13	25:48	25
13	Vlasenica	24	4	7	13	14:31	19
14	Sloboda Novi Grad	0	0	0	0	0:0	0