Sport Picks
Match Events
19'
19'
Taha Y.
30'
30'
Sub
Thomas R. In: Fichtinger N.
Out: Thomas R.
33'
33'
Schreuders J.
AI Match Summary
The Eredivisie 2025/2026 game between Zwolle and Groningen finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
39%
31%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Groningen's 1.38 goals per match outpaces what Zwolle have produced (1.13).
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Eredivisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Zwolle Clean Sheet 10%
Groningen Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Zwolle | Groningen |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 27 |
| Wins | 9 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 12 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.63 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.63 | 1.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 13, 2026 Eredivisie
Zwolle vs Groningen
1:1
Nov 23, 2025 Eredivisie
Groningen vs Zwolle
2:2
May 18, 2025 Eredivisie
Zwolle vs Groningen
2:0
Dec 8, 2024 Eredivisie
Groningen vs Zwolle
0:0
Aug 5, 2023 Club Friendly
Zwolle vs Groningen
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Zwolle Compare
Top Goalscorer Kostons K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Groningen Compare
Top Goalscorer van Bergen T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Zwolle 29 / 100
Groningen 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Zwolle Groningen
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ZWO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Zwolle found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).
Groningen let in goals in 74% of their last 27 matches.
Games between these two average 1.60 goals.
Away concern: Groningen has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Zwolle VS Groningen
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Zwolle
(Home) 18 Jul
Zwolle
3 : 2 Cercle Brugge
11 Jul
Zwolle
0 : 1 Al Jazira
17 May
Zwolle
0 : 2 Feyenoord
10 May
Sittard
3 : 2 Zwolle
03 May
Zwolle
1 : 0 Heracles
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Zwolle
3 : 2 Cercle Brugge
11 Jul
Zwolle
0 : 1 Al Jazira
17 May
Zwolle
0 : 2 Feyenoord
03 May
Zwolle
1 : 0 Heracles
12 Apr
Zwolle
2 : 2 Excelsior
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Groningen
(Away) 18 Jul
Groningen
1 : 2 AEK
11 Jul
Groningen
3 : 2 FC Emmen
08 Jul
Heracles
2 : 1 Groningen
21 May
Ajax
2 : 0 Groningen
17 May
Heracles
1 : 2 Groningen
Page 1 of 6
08 Jul
Heracles
2 : 1 Groningen
21 May
Ajax
2 : 0 Groningen
17 May
Heracles
1 : 2 Groningen
25 Apr
Feyenoord
3 : 1 Groningen
04 Apr
Telstar
0 : 2 Groningen
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV | 34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 101:45 | 84 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70:44 | 65 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 77:53 | 59 |
| 4 | Twente | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 59:40 | 58 |
| 5 | Ajax | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 62:41 | 56 |
| 6 | Utrecht | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 55:42 | 53 |
| 7 | AZ Alkmaar | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 58:51 | 52 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57:53 | 51 |
| 9 | Groningen | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 49:45 | 48 |
| 10 | Sparta Rotterdam | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 40:62 | 43 |
| 11 | Sittard | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 49:63 | 39 |
| 12 | G.A. Eagles | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 54:53 | 38 |
| 13 | Excelsior | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 43:56 | 38 |
| 14 | Telstar | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 49:55 | 37 |
| 15 | Zwolle | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 44:71 | 37 |
| 16 | FC Volendam | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 35:55 | 32 |
| 17 | NAC Breda | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 35:58 | 29 |
| 18 | Heracles | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 35:85 | 19 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie (Main)