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Zwolle vs Haarlem Prediction & H2H Stats

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie 2009/2010 MAC³PARK Stadion, Zwolle
Fri, Mar 19, 2010
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zwolle host Haarlem in the Eerste Divisie 2009/2010. Haarlem go into this one as the clear favorite. Haarlem have shipped 2.5 goals a game lately, while Zwolle have conceded 2.21 and scored 1.21. Past meetings favor Zwolle slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 19, 2010, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.17 xG vs 1.75) point toward Haarlem. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Zwolle
25%
Draws
35%
Haarlem
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Zwolle

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Zwolle have won more games recently than Haarlem.
  • Haarlem are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Zwolle Clean Sheet 12%
Haarlem Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zwolle Haarlem
Matches Played 29 2
Wins 6 1
Draws 7 0
Losses 16 1
Goals Scored 1.21 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.21 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2010 Eerste Divisie
Zwolle vs Haarlem
0:0
Nov 30, 2009 Eerste Divisie
Haarlem vs Zwolle
0:0
May 8, 2009 Eerste Divisie
Zwolle vs Haarlem
3:2
Oct 31, 2008 Eerste Divisie
Haarlem vs Zwolle
3:1
Dec 7, 2007 Eerste Divisie
Zwolle vs Haarlem
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zwolle 10 / 100
Haarlem 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zwolle Haarlem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Haarlem Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Haarlem has conceded goals in 100% of their last 2 outings.

Zwolle's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Zwolle went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zwolle VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
2.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Zwolle

(Home)
18 Sept
Groningen
3 : 0
Zwolle
13 Sept
Zwolle
0 : 7
Feyenoord
04 Sept
Sparta Rotterdam
2 : 2
Zwolle
29 Aug
Zwolle
1 : 3
Nijmegen
22 Aug
Heerenveen
0 : 2
Zwolle
Page 1 of 6

Haarlem

(Away)
27 Jul
Sheffield Wed
2 : 3
Haarlem
27 Oct
Heracles
3 : 0
Haarlem

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 De Graafschap 36 25 6 5 85:34 81
2 Cambuur 36 21 8 7 78:48 71
3 Excelsior 36 20 5 11 77:49 65
4 Zwolle 36 19 8 9 59:37 65
5 G.A. Eagles 36 18 9 9 53:33 63
6 Apeldoorn 36 16 9 11 63:52 55
7 Den Bosch 36 14 12 10 66:54 54
8 Helmond Sport 36 16 6 14 63:53 54
9 Veendam 36 14 11 11 57:48 52
10 Maastricht 36 14 7 15 59:67 49
11 Roosendaal 36 12 10 14 47:53 46
12 Eindhoven FC 36 13 7 16 63:81 46
13 Dordrecht 36 13 4 19 54:59 43
14 Almere City 36 11 7 18 40:65 40
15 FC Emmen 36 10 8 18 51:79 38
16 FC Volendam 36 8 11 17 61:81 35
17 Sittard 36 7 9 20 31:57 30
18 Telstar 36 7 8 21 45:65 29
19 TOP Oss 36 6 11 19 42:79 29
20 Haarlem 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Eredivisie 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2009/2010 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2009/2010 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2009/2010 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2009/2010 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2009/2010 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2009/2010 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2009/2010 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2009/2010 (Promotion)