Sport Picks
Aberystwyth vs Caerau Ely - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Kampsammendrag
Aberystwyth host Caerau Ely in the Cymru South. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Aberystwyth have averaged 1.59 scored and 1.31 conceded recently, against Caerau Ely's 2.43 scored and 1.37 conceded. Head-to-head, Aberystwyth have won 0 to Caerau Ely's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on 1. mars 2026, ending 0:4. The numbers (2.81 xG vs 1.63) point toward Caerau Ely. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- Form's been kind to Caerau Ely lately — more wins on the board than Aberystwyth.
- Model gives Aberystwyth a 40% chance of winning this.
- Regular Cymru South form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Aberystwyth | Caerau Ely |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 29 | 35 |
| Seire | 14 | 20 |
| Uavgjort | 4 | 7 |
| Tap | 11 | 8 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.59 | 2.43 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.31 | 1.37 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 2.81 | 1.63 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Recent resilience: Aberystwyth stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Aberystwyth's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Caerau Ely let in goals in 66% of their last 35 matches.
H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.
Måltrender
Recent Form & Match History
Aberystwyth
(Home)Caerau Ely
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pure Swansea | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 25:6 | 20 |
| 2 | Aberystwyth | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22:8 | 19 |
| 3 | Pontypridd United | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 19:15 | 16 |
| 4 | Caerau Ely | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 21:18 | 16 |
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11:11 | 16 |
| 6 | Carmarthen Town | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 20:19 | 14 |
| 7 | Ynyshir Albions | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9:7 | 13 |
| 8 | Treowen | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18:18 | 13 |
| 9 | Afan Lido | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:17 | 11 |
| 10 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 11 | Pontardawe | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 12 | Newport City | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:6 | 8 |
| 13 | Cardiff Draconians | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | 8 |
| 14 | Caerphilly | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 15 | Llantwit Major | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:16 | 7 |
| 16 | Llanelli | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7:27 | 2 |