Sport Picks
Alaves vs Atl. Madrid - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spania
LaLiga Estadio Mendizorrotza, Vitoria-Gasteiz 
Kampsammendrag
Alaves host Atl. Madrid in the LaLiga. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Alaves have averaged 1.66 scored and 1.45 conceded recently, against Atl. Madrid's 1.79 scored and 1.59 conceded. Past meetings favor Atl. Madrid slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 18. jan. 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.88 vs 1.19, favoring Alaves. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- Atl. Madrid carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Alaves | Atl. Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 29 | 29 |
| Seire | 12 | 13 |
| Uavgjort | 8 | 2 |
| Tap | 9 | 14 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.66 | 1.79 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.45 | 1.59 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.88 | 1.19 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Alaves found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).
Atl. Madrid let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Alaves stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Måltrender
Recent Form & Match History
Alaves
(Home)Atl. Madrid
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 28:6 | 18 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17:6 | 15 |
| 3 | Atl. Madrid | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:6 | 13 |
| 4 | Sevilla | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:6 | 13 |
| 5 | Betis | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7:6 | 12 |
| 6 | Alaves | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:6 | 10 |
| 7 | Dep. A Coruna | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:7 | 9 |
| 8 | Espanyol | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:7 | 7 |
| 9 | Ath Bilbao | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 10 | Racing Santander | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11:16 | 7 |
| 11 | Rayo Vallecano | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 12 | Real Sociedad | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:11 | 7 |
| 13 | Osasuna | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:12 | 7 |
| 14 | Levante | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | 5 |
| 15 | Getafe | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | 5 |
| 16 | Celta Vigo | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 17 | Valencia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2:10 | 4 |
| 18 | Malaga | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2:8 | 3 |
| 19 | Villarreal | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7:10 | 2 |
| 20 | Elche | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8:16 | 2 |
