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Albania vs Finland - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League
tor. 12. nov. 2026
VS
07:45 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Albania host Finland in the UEFA Nations League. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Finland have shipped 1.67 goals a game lately, while Albania have conceded 0.94 and scored 1.13. Head-to-head, Albania have won 0 to Finland's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on 3. okt. 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.06 - 1.50) back Albania to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

30%
Albania
39%
Uavgjort
31%
Finland
Uavgjort-prognose: 39% Favoritt: Draw

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

65% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Look at the last few games and Albania come out ahead of Finland on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
  • History favors Finland here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 25.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 11%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 68.6%
Albania Rent bur 16%
Finland Rent bur 14%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Albania Finland
Kamper Spilt 31 30
Seire 13 10
Uavgjort 5 3
Tap 13 17
Mål Scoret 1.13 1.33
Mål Sluppet Inn 0.94 1.67
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.06 1.50
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

3. okt. 2026 UEFA Nations League
Finland vs Albania
2:1
7. jan. 2002 Friendly International
Albania vs Finland
1:1
1. sep. 2001 World Championship
Albania vs Finland
0:2
2. sep. 2000 World Championship
Finland vs Albania
2:1
1. sep. 1981 World Championship
Finland vs Albania
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Albania 30 / 100
Finland 31 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Albania Finland

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Albania Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Finland let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Albania found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Albania went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Måltrender

Albania VS Finland
1 Mål scoret 1.88
1.13 Mål sluppet inn 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Albania

(Home)
06 Oct
Albania
2 : 1
San Marino
03 Oct
Finland
2 : 1
Albania
29 Sept
San Marino
0 : 3
Albania
26 Sept
Albania
2 : 0
Belarus
06 Jun
Albania
0 : 1
Luxembourg
Page 1 of 7

Finland

(Away)
06 Oct
Belarus
1 : 0
Finland
03 Oct
Finland
2 : 1
Albania
29 Sept
Finland
0 : 0
Belarus
26 Sept
San Marino
0 : 7
Finland
05 Jun
Hungary
2 : 1
Finland
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Albania 4 3 0 1 8:3 9
2 Belarus 4 2 1 1 5:2 7
3 Finland 4 2 1 1 9:2 7
4 San Marino 4 0 0 4 1:16 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montenegro 4 3 1 0 7:4 10
2 Cyprus 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
3 Armenia 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
4 Latvia 4 0 1 3 2:6 1
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slovakia 4 3 1 0 9:2 10
2 Faroe Islands 4 0 4 0 5:5 4
3 Moldova 4 1 1 2 3:8 4
4 Kazakhstan 4 0 2 2 5:7 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iceland 4 2 2 0 7:1 8
2 Estonia 4 1 3 0 2:1 6
3 Bulgaria 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
4 Luxembourg 4 1 0 3 2:7 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)