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Albion vs Progreso - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uruguay Uruguay

Copa Uruguay
Vårt Tips

Kamphendelser

9' Event
Figueroa T.
80' Event
Dos Santos J.
(Straffe)
90' Event

Kampsammendrag

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

40%
Albion
33%
Uavgjort
27%
Progreso
Uavgjort-prognose: 33% Favoritt: Albion

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

70% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Form's been kind to Albion lately — more wins on the board than Progreso.
  • Win probability leans Albion's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Albion have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Progreso, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 85%
Over 1.5 Mål 75%
Over 2.5 Mål 25%
Over 3.5 Mål 22%
Over 4.5 Mål 10%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 33.2%
Albion Rent bur 68%
Progreso Rent bur 11%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Albion Progreso
Kamper Spilt 30 29
Seire 11 9
Uavgjort 7 1
Tap 12 19
Mål Scoret 1.3 0.79
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.3 1.34
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.25 1.63
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

7. sep. 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Albion vs Progreso
0:1
3. sep. 2026 Copa Uruguay
Albion vs Progreso
2:1
7. juni 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Progreso vs Albion
1:2
7. mars 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Progreso vs Albion
2:2
29. nov. 2023 Segunda Division
Progreso vs Albion
3:2

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Albion Sammenlign

Toppscorer Figueroa T.
1 Mål
Snitt xG / kamp 0.96
Snitt xA / kamp 0.63

Progreso Sammenlign

Snitt xG / kamp 1.48
Snitt xA / kamp 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Albion 50 / 100
Progreso 27 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Albion Progreso

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Albion Win (1)
Sekundærtips Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Prognose No (NG)
Over/Under Tips Under 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Progreso's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Albion scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Albion went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Måltrender

Albion VS Progreso
1.25 Mål scoret 1.38
1.88 Mål sluppet inn 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Albion

(Home)
02 Nov
Albion
0 : 0
Maldonado
24 Oct
Central Esp.
1 : 3
Albion
18 Oct
Albion
2 : 1
Montevideo City
15 Oct
Maldonado
4 : 1
Albion
11 Oct
Cerro Largo
0 : 1
Albion
Page 1 of 6

Progreso

(Away)
01 Nov
Progreso
0 : 2
Defensor Sp.
25 Oct
Wanderers
0 : 1
Progreso
17 Oct
Progreso
2 : 0
Juventud
10 Oct
Penarol
1 : 1
Progreso
03 Oct
Liverpool M.
3 : 2
Progreso
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Penarol 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
2 Montevideo City 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
3 Danubio 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
4 Atenas 3 0 2 1 7:8 2
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Plaza Colonia 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
2 Cerro Largo 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
3 Rentistas 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
4 Defensor Sp. 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maldonado 3 2 0 1 8:2 6
2 Cerrito 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 Wanderers 3 1 1 1 3:8 4
4 CA Cerro 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Central Esp. 3 2 1 0 8:3 7
2 Juventud 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
3 Racing Montevideo 3 1 0 2 4:8 3
4 Club Oriental De Futbol 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Nacional 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
2 Albion 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 River Plate Montevideo 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
4 Progreso 3 0 0 3 1:5 0
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boston River 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 Liverpool M. 3 2 0 1 5:1 6
3 Fenix 3 0 1 2 5:8 1
4 Colon 3 0 1 2 3:8 1
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)