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Arsenal vs Leeds - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Premier League Emirates Stadium, London
lør. 10. okt. 2026
VS
11:30 a.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Arsenal host Leeds in the Premier League. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Arsenal have averaged 1.67 scored and 0.94 conceded recently, against Leeds's 1.61 scored and 1.1 conceded. Head-to-head, Arsenal have won 5 to Leeds's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on 31. jan. 2026, ending 0:4. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.25) point toward Arsenal. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

40%
Arsenal
33%
Uavgjort
27%
Leeds
Uavgjort-prognose: 33% Favoritt: Arsenal

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

70% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Look at the last few games and Arsenal come out ahead of Leeds on wins alone.
  • Model gives Arsenal a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Arsenal have taken 5 of them.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 70%
Over 4.5 Mål 32%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 71%
Arsenal Rent bur 19%
Leeds Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Arsenal Leeds
Kamper Spilt 36 31
Seire 23 14
Uavgjort 4 10
Tap 9 7
Mål Scoret 1.67 1.61
Mål Sluppet Inn 0.94 1.1
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.63 1.25
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

31. jan. 2026 Premier League
Leeds vs Arsenal
0:4
23. aug. 2025 Premier League
Arsenal vs Leeds
5:0
1. apr. 2023 Premier League
Arsenal vs Leeds
4:1
16. okt. 2022 Premier League
Leeds vs Arsenal
0:1
8. mai 2022 Premier League
Arsenal vs Leeds
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Arsenal 40 / 100
Leeds 26 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Arsenal Leeds

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Arsenal Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 7:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Arsenal scored in 92% of their last 36 games.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Leeds's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

Arsenal went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Måltrender

Arsenal VS Leeds
2 Mål scoret 1.88
0.63 Mål sluppet inn 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Arsenal

(Home)
19 Sept
Brighton
3 : 0
Arsenal
15 Sept
Ipswich
2 : 4
Arsenal
12 Sept
Sunderland
0 : 2
Arsenal
09 Sept
Napoli
0 : 1
Arsenal
06 Sept
Arsenal
2 : 1
Chelsea
Page 1 of 8

Leeds

(Away)
20 Sept
Leeds
0 : 0
Crystal Palace
14 Sept
Leeds
4 : 1
Newcastle Utd
09 Sept
Chelsea
6 : 3
Leeds
05 Sept
Brighton
1 : 1
Leeds
30 Aug
Leeds
1 : 1
Brentford
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City 5 5 0 0 13:5 15
2 Arsenal 5 4 0 1 8:4 12
3 Brighton 5 3 1 1 16:5 10
4 Brentford 5 2 3 0 10:4 9
5 Leeds 5 2 3 0 7:3 9
6 Liverpool 5 2 3 0 7:4 9
7 Everton 5 2 3 0 6:3 9
8 Hull City 5 2 2 1 6:4 8
9 Newcastle Utd 5 2 2 1 9:9 8
10 Chelsea 5 2 1 2 10:12 7
11 Ipswich 5 2 0 3 7:11 6
12 Manchester United 5 1 2 2 8:8 5
13 Nottingham 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
14 Sunderland 5 1 1 3 6:10 4
15 Crystal Palace 5 1 1 3 6:11 4
16 Aston Villa 5 1 1 3 4:9 4
17 Bournemouth 5 0 3 2 6:8 3
18 Coventry 5 1 0 4 1:10 3
19 Fulham 5 0 2 3 5:8 2
20 Tottenham 5 0 2 3 2:8 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)