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AS Roma vs Real Madrid - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Champions League Stadio Olimpico, Rome
ons. 14. okt. 2026
VS
07:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

AS Roma host Real Madrid in the Champions League. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. AS Roma have averaged 2.1 scored and 1.38 conceded recently, against Real Madrid's 2.21 scored and 1.14 conceded. Head-to-head, AS Roma have won 1 to Real Madrid's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on 11. aug. 2019, ending 3:2. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.50) point toward Real Madrid. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

60%
AS Roma
22%
Uavgjort
18%
Real Madrid
Uavgjort-prognose: 22% Favoritt: AS Roma

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

82% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Look at the last few games and Real Madrid come out ahead of AS Roma on wins alone.
  • Model gives AS Roma a 60% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Champions League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Real Madrid have taken 4 of them.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 37.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 17%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 75%
AS Roma Rent bur 16%
Real Madrid Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk AS Roma Real Madrid
Kamper Spilt 29 29
Seire 14 20
Uavgjort 8 3
Tap 7 6
Mål Scoret 2.1 2.21
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.38 1.14
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.38 1.50
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

11. aug. 2019 Club Friendly
AS Roma vs Real Madrid
3:2
27. nov. 2018 Champions League
AS Roma vs Real Madrid
0:2
19. sep. 2018 Champions League
Real Madrid vs AS Roma
3:0
8. aug. 2018 International Champions Cup
Real Madrid vs AS Roma
2:1
8. mars 2016 Champions League
Real Madrid vs AS Roma
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

AS Roma 57 / 100
Real Madrid 18 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
AS Roma Real Madrid

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips AS Roma Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

AS Roma scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: AS Roma remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Real Madrid has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Måltrender

AS Roma VS Real Madrid
2.13 Mål scoret 2.25
0.75 Mål sluppet inn 0.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AS Roma

(Home)
19 Sept
AS Roma
2 : 2
Inter
14 Sept
Torino
0 : 2
AS Roma
10 Sept
Fenerbahce
1 : 1
AS Roma
05 Sept
AS Roma
2 : 1
Atalanta
31 Aug
Lecce
0 : 4
AS Roma
Page 1 of 6

Real Madrid

(Away)
20 Sept
Atl. Madrid
2 : 1
Real Madrid
15 Sept
Elche
2 : 3
Real Madrid
12 Sept
Real Madrid
4 : 1
Rayo Vallecano
08 Sept
Real Madrid
2 : 1
Inter
04 Sept
Betis
1 : 0
Real Madrid
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSG 1 1 0 0 6:1 3
2 Bayern Munich 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
3 Barcelona 1 1 0 0 5:1 3
4 Manchester United 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
5 Como 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
6 VfB Stuttgart 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
7 Sporting CP 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
8 Manchester City 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
9 Aston Villa 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
10 Lens 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
11 Betis 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
12 Dortmund 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
13 Liverpool 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
14 Real Madrid 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
15 Arsenal 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
16 AEK 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
17 AS Roma 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
18 Shakhtar 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
19 PSV 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
20 Fenerbahce 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
21 Villarreal 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
22 Lille 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
23 Slavia Prague 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
24 Club Brugge 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
25 Inter 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
26 Atl. Madrid 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
27 Napoli 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
28 LASK Linz 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
29 Viking 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
30 Galatasaray 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
31 FC Porto 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
32 RB Leipzig 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
33 Feyenoord 1 0 0 1 1:5 0
34 Sabah Baku 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
35 Slovan Bratislava 1 0 0 1 1:6 0
36 Bodo/Glimt 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)