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Aston Villa vs Brentford - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Premier League Villa Park, Birmingham
lør. 10. okt. 2026
VS
02:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Aston Villa host Brentford in the Premier League. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Aston Villa at 1.93 goals for, 1.43 against; Brentford at 1.9 for, 1.17 against. Head-to-head, Aston Villa have won 2 to Brentford's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on 1. feb. 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (0.94 xG vs 2.56) point toward Brentford. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

22%
Aston Villa
28%
Uavgjort
50%
Brentford
Uavgjort-prognose: 28% Favoritt: Brentford

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

76% / Høy Sikkerhet
  • Form's been kind to Aston Villa lately — more wins on the board than Brentford.
  • Brentford are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 98%
Over 1.5 Mål 87.5%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 37.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 17%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 73%
Aston Villa Rent bur 10%
Brentford Rent bur 16%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Aston Villa Brentford
Kamper Spilt 30 30
Seire 14 13
Uavgjort 3 11
Tap 13 6
Mål Scoret 1.93 1.9
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.43 1.17
Forventede Mål (xG) 0.94 2.56
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

1. feb. 2026 Premier League
Aston Villa vs Brentford
0:1
16. sep. 2025 EFL Cup
Brentford vs Aston Villa
2:1
23. aug. 2025 Premier League
Brentford vs Aston Villa
1:0
8. mars 2025 Premier League
Brentford vs Aston Villa
0:1
4. des. 2024 Premier League
Aston Villa vs Brentford
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Aston Villa 22 / 100
Brentford 48 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Aston Villa Brentford

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Brentford Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Aston Villa's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Brentford has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Aston Villa remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Måltrender

Aston Villa VS Brentford
0.88 Mål scoret 3.25
1.88 Mål sluppet inn 1
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Aston Villa

(Home)
19 Sept
Tottenham
2 : 3
Aston Villa
16 Sept
Coventry
1 : 3
Aston Villa
12 Sept
Aston Villa
1 : 2
Nottingham
08 Sept
Club Brugge
2 : 3
Aston Villa
05 Sept
Hull City
0 : 0
Aston Villa
Page 1 of 6

Brentford

(Away)
18 Sept
Brentford
3 : 0
Chelsea
15 Sept
Reading
1 : 2
Brentford
12 Sept
Bournemouth
2 : 2
Brentford
05 Sept
Brentford
1 : 1
Sunderland
30 Aug
Leeds
1 : 1
Brentford
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City 5 5 0 0 13:5 15
2 Arsenal 5 4 0 1 8:4 12
3 Brighton 5 3 1 1 16:5 10
4 Brentford 5 2 3 0 10:4 9
5 Leeds 5 2 3 0 7:3 9
6 Liverpool 5 2 3 0 7:4 9
7 Everton 5 2 3 0 6:3 9
8 Hull City 5 2 2 1 6:4 8
9 Newcastle Utd 5 2 2 1 9:9 8
10 Chelsea 5 2 1 2 10:12 7
11 Ipswich 5 2 0 3 7:11 6
12 Manchester United 5 1 2 2 8:8 5
13 Nottingham 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
14 Sunderland 5 1 1 3 6:10 4
15 Crystal Palace 5 1 1 3 6:11 4
16 Aston Villa 5 1 1 3 4:9 4
17 Bournemouth 5 0 3 2 6:8 3
18 Coventry 5 1 0 4 1:10 3
19 Fulham 5 0 2 3 5:8 2
20 Tottenham 5 0 2 3 2:8 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)