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Aston Villa vs Fenerbahce - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Champions League Villa Park, Birmingham
ons. 14. okt. 2026
VS
07:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Aston Villa host Fenerbahce in the Champions League. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Aston Villa at 2 goals for, 1.42 against; Fenerbahce at 2.18 for, 0.93 against. Head-to-head, Aston Villa have won 3 to Fenerbahce's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on 22. jan. 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.25 - 2.00) back Fenerbahce to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

22%
Aston Villa
28%
Uavgjort
50%
Fenerbahce
Uavgjort-prognose: 28% Favoritt: Fenerbahce

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

76% / Høy Sikkerhet
  • Aston Villa haven't matched Fenerbahce's recent run of results.
  • Fenerbahce are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Champions League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
  • History favors Aston Villa here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 44%
Over 4.5 Mål 20%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 72.2%
Aston Villa Rent bur 10%
Fenerbahce Rent bur 11%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Aston Villa Fenerbahce
Kamper Spilt 31 28
Seire 16 17
Uavgjort 3 6
Tap 12 5
Mål Scoret 2 2.18
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.42 0.93
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.25 2.00
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

22. jan. 2026 Europa League
Fenerbahce vs Aston Villa
0:1
28. sep. 1977 Europa League
Fenerbahce vs Aston Villa
0:2
14. sep. 1977 Europa League
Aston Villa vs Fenerbahce
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Aston Villa 22 / 100
Fenerbahce 47 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Aston Villa Fenerbahce

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Fenerbahce Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Aston Villa scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Aston Villa has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Fenerbahce let in goals in 57% of their last 28 matches.

Måltrender

Aston Villa VS Fenerbahce
1.63 Mål scoret 2.38
1.63 Mål sluppet inn 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aston Villa

(Home)
02 Oct
Sevilla
1 : 3
Aston Villa
19 Sept
Tottenham
2 : 3
Aston Villa
16 Sept
Coventry
1 : 3
Aston Villa
12 Sept
Aston Villa
1 : 2
Nottingham
08 Sept
Club Brugge
2 : 3
Aston Villa
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Fenerbahce

(Away)
03 Oct
Turan
0 : 2
Fenerbahce
20 Sept
Fenerbahce
8 : 0
Eyupspor
14 Sept
Gaziantep
0 : 0
Fenerbahce
10 Sept
Fenerbahce
1 : 1
AS Roma
05 Sept
Fenerbahce
1 : 2
Besiktas
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSG 1 1 0 0 6:1 3
2 Bayern Munich 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
3 Barcelona 1 1 0 0 5:1 3
4 Manchester United 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
5 Como 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
6 VfB Stuttgart 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
7 Sporting CP 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
8 Manchester City 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
9 Aston Villa 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
10 Lens 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
11 Betis 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
12 Dortmund 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
13 Liverpool 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
14 Real Madrid 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
15 Arsenal 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
16 AEK 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
17 AS Roma 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
18 Shakhtar 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
19 PSV 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
20 Fenerbahce 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
21 Villarreal 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
22 Lille 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
23 Slavia Prague 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
24 Club Brugge 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
25 Inter 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
26 Atl. Madrid 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
27 Napoli 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
28 LASK Linz 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
29 Viking 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
30 Galatasaray 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
31 FC Porto 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
32 RB Leipzig 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
33 Feyenoord 1 0 0 1 1:5 0
34 Sabah Baku 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
35 Slovan Bratislava 1 0 0 1 1:6 0
36 Bodo/Glimt 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)