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AZ Alkmaar vs H. Beer Sheva - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Europa League AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
tor. 15. okt. 2026
VS
04:45 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

AZ Alkmaar host H. Beer Sheva in the Europa League. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: AZ Alkmaar at 2.21 goals for, 1.14 against; H. Beer Sheva at 1.63 for, 1.63 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 2.06 vs 1.25, favoring AZ Alkmaar. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

30%
AZ Alkmaar
39%
Uavgjort
31%
H. Beer Sheva
Uavgjort-prognose: 39% Favoritt: Draw

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

65% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Form's been kind to AZ Alkmaar lately — more wins on the board than H. Beer Sheva.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Europa League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 44%
Over 4.5 Mål 20%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 73%
AZ Alkmaar Rent bur 19%
H. Beer Sheva Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk AZ Alkmaar H. Beer Sheva
Kamper Spilt 28 27
Seire 15 13
Uavgjort 8 5
Tap 5 9
Mål Scoret 2.21 1.63
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.14 1.63
Forventede Mål (xG) 2.06 1.25
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

AZ Alkmaar 31 / 100
H. Beer Sheva 30 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
AZ Alkmaar H. Beer Sheva

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips AZ Alkmaar Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

AZ Alkmaar found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

H. Beer Sheva has conceded goals in 67% of their last 27 outings.

AZ Alkmaar went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

H. Beer Sheva lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Måltrender

AZ Alkmaar VS H. Beer Sheva
2 Mål scoret 1.63
0.88 Mål sluppet inn 2.13
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

AZ Alkmaar

(Home)
20 Sept
AZ Alkmaar
1 : 0
Telstar
16 Sept
Sunderland
1 : 0
AZ Alkmaar
11 Sept
AZ Alkmaar
1 : 1
Willem II
06 Sept
Heerenveen
2 : 3
AZ Alkmaar
29 Aug
AZ Alkmaar
5 : 2
G.A. Eagles
Page 1 of 6

H. Beer Sheva

(Away)
19 Sept
H. Beer Sheva
1 : 0
Shmona
16 Sept
H. Beer Sheva
0 : 0
Din. Zagreb
13 Sept
Hapoel Petah Tikva
0 : 2
H. Beer Sheva
07 Sept
H. Beer Sheva
1 : 4
Maccabi Tel Aviv
02 Sept
H. Beer Sheva
2 : 2
Hapoel Haifa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Juventus 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
2 Crystal Palace 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
3 Sparta Prague 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
4 Besiktas 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
5 Royale Union SG 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
6 Ferencvaros 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
7 Benfica 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
8 Bayer Leverkusen 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
9 OFI Crete 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
10 Bournemouth 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
11 Lyon 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
12 Torreense 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
13 Olympiacos Piraeus 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
14 Salzburg 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
15 Sunderland 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
16 Omonia 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
17 Sturm Graz 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
18 Rennes 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
19 Din. Zagreb 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
20 H. Beer Sheva 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
21 Jagiellonia 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
22 Real Sociedad 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
23 Anderlecht 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
24 Lillestrom 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
25 Celta Vigo 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
26 AZ Alkmaar 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
27 Levski Sofia 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
28 Celtic 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
29 Hoffenheim 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
30 AC Milan 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
31 Celje 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
32 Marseille 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
33 Ararat-Armenia 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
34 Plzen 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
35 Lech Poznan 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
36 Nijmegen 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)