Sport Picks
Kampsammendrag
Baglan Dragons host Caerau Ely in the Cymru South. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Baglan Dragons have averaged 0.68 scored and 1.87 conceded recently, against Caerau Ely's 2.42 scored and 1.42 conceded. Head-to-head, Baglan Dragons have won 2 to Caerau Ely's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on 14. mars 2026, ending 0:5. Model xG sits at 0.44 vs 0.78, favoring Caerau Ely. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- Caerau Ely have won more games recently than Baglan Dragons.
- Model gives Baglan Dragons a 40% chance of winning this.
- Regular Cymru South form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Baglan Dragons | Caerau Ely |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 31 | 36 |
| Seire | 6 | 19 |
| Uavgjort | 7 | 8 |
| Tap | 18 | 9 |
| Mål Scoret | 0.68 | 2.42 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.87 | 1.42 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 0.44 | 0.78 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
Caerau Ely has conceded goals in 67% of their last 36 outings.
Baglan Dragons has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Attacking prowess: Baglan Dragons scored in 48% of their last 31 outings.
Måltrender
Recent Form & Match History
Baglan Dragons
(Home)Caerau Ely
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pure Swansea | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14:1 | 12 |
| 2 | Pontypridd United | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:6 | 12 |
| 3 | Treowen | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:6 | 9 |
| 4 | Carmarthen Town | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:9 | 9 |
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 7 |
| 6 | Aberystwyth | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 |
| 7 | Newport City | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:4 | 6 |
| 8 | Afan Lido | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:8 | 6 |
| 9 | Ynyshir Albions | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 10 | Cardiff Draconians | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 11 | Caerau Ely | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9:12 | 4 |
| 12 | Caerphilly | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:7 | 4 |
| 13 | Pontardawe | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | 3 |
| 14 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:7 | 2 |
| 15 | Llanelli | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:12 | 1 |
| 16 | Llantwit Major | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:14 | 0 |