Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Baglan Dragons vs Caerau Ely

Wales Wales

Cymru South
fre. 28. aug. 2026
VS
06:30 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Baglan Dragons host Caerau Ely in the Cymru South. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Baglan Dragons have averaged 0.68 scored and 1.87 conceded recently, against Caerau Ely's 2.42 scored and 1.42 conceded. Head-to-head, Baglan Dragons have won 2 to Caerau Ely's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on 14. mars 2026, ending 0:5. Model xG sits at 0.44 vs 0.78, favoring Caerau Ely. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

40%
Baglan Dragons
33%
Uavgjort
27%
Caerau Ely
Uavgjort-prognose: 33% Favoritt: Baglan Dragons

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

70% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Caerau Ely have won more games recently than Baglan Dragons.
  • Model gives Baglan Dragons a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Cymru South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 6.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 3%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 71.4%
Baglan Dragons Rent bur 20%
Caerau Ely Rent bur 20%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Baglan Dragons Caerau Ely
Kamper Spilt 31 36
Seire 6 19
Uavgjort 7 8
Tap 18 9
Mål Scoret 0.68 2.42
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.87 1.42
Forventede Mål (xG) 0.44 0.78
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

14. mars 2026 Cymru South
Baglan Dragons vs Caerau Ely
0:5
17. sep. 2025 Cymru South
Caerau Ely vs Baglan Dragons
2:1
11. jan. 2025 Cymru South
Baglan Dragons vs Caerau Ely
2:1
1. nov. 2024 Cymru South
Caerau Ely vs Baglan Dragons
2:1
20. jan. 2024 Cymru South
Baglan Dragons vs Caerau Ely
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Baglan Dragons 40 / 100
Caerau Ely 28 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Baglan Dragons Caerau Ely

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Baglan Dragons Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Caerau Ely has conceded goals in 67% of their last 36 outings.

Baglan Dragons has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Baglan Dragons scored in 48% of their last 31 outings.

Måltrender

Baglan Dragons VS Caerau Ely
0.5 Mål scoret 0.88
0.67 Mål sluppet inn 0.38
33% Over 1.5 38%
17% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Baglan Dragons

(Home)
21 Aug
Newport City
0 : 1
Baglan Dragons
15 Aug
Llantwit Major
0 : 1
Baglan Dragons
09 Aug
Baglan Dragons
0 : 3
Pure Swansea
31 Jul
Trethomas Bluebirds
0 : 0
Baglan Dragons
18 Apr
Baglan Dragons
1 : 1
Trethomas Bluebirds
Page 1 of 7

Caerau Ely

(Away)
21 Aug
Caerau Ely
1 : 5
Pure Swansea
14 Aug
Trethomas Bluebirds
2 : 4
Caerau Ely
07 Aug
Caerau Ely
1 : 1
Ynyshir Albions
01 Aug
Carmarthen Town
4 : 3
Caerau Ely
25 Jul
Caerau Ely
4 : 4
Barnstaple Town
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pure Swansea 4 4 0 0 14:1 12
2 Pontypridd United 4 4 0 0 12:6 12
3 Treowen 4 3 0 1 11:6 9
4 Carmarthen Town 4 3 0 1 11:9 9
5 Baglan Dragons 4 2 1 1 2:3 7
6 Aberystwyth 3 2 0 1 11:5 6
7 Newport City 4 2 0 2 9:4 6
8 Afan Lido 4 2 0 2 9:8 6
9 Ynyshir Albions 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
10 Cardiff Draconians 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
11 Caerau Ely 4 1 1 2 9:12 4
12 Caerphilly 4 1 1 2 2:7 4
13 Pontardawe 4 1 0 3 5:8 3
14 Trethomas Bluebirds 4 0 2 2 4:7 2
15 Llanelli 4 0 1 3 4:12 1
16 Llantwit Major 4 0 0 4 1:14 0
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)