Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Basingstoke vs Malvern Town - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Southern League Premier South
lør. 10. okt. 2026
VS
02:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Basingstoke host Malvern Town in the Southern League Premier South. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Malvern Town have shipped 2.08 goals a game lately, while Basingstoke have conceded 1.86 and scored 1.48. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.94 vs 1.31, favoring Basingstoke. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

40%
Basingstoke
33%
Uavgjort
27%
Malvern Town
Uavgjort-prognose: 33% Favoritt: Basingstoke

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

70% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Basingstoke have won more games recently than Malvern Town.
  • Win probability leans Basingstoke's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Southern League Premier South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 31.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 14%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 75.8%
Basingstoke Rent bur 18%
Malvern Town Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Basingstoke Malvern Town
Kamper Spilt 29 24
Seire 7 4
Uavgjort 9 5
Tap 13 15
Mål Scoret 1.48 1.21
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.86 2.08
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.94 1.31
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Basingstoke 40 / 100
Malvern Town 26 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Basingstoke Malvern Town

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Basingstoke Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Malvern Town let in goals in 83% of their last 24 matches.

Basingstoke found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Away concern: Malvern Town has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Basingstoke went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Måltrender

Basingstoke VS Malvern Town
1 Mål scoret 1.25
1.38 Mål sluppet inn 2.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Basingstoke

(Home)
29 Sept
Uxbridge
2 : 1
Basingstoke
26 Sept
Poole Town
1 : 0
Basingstoke
19 Sept
Basingstoke
1 : 1
Gosport Borough
12 Sept
Gloucester City
1 : 1
Basingstoke
08 Sept
AFC Stoneham
1 : 0
Basingstoke
Page 1 of 6

Malvern Town

(Away)
29 Sept
Bath City
2 : 1
Malvern Town
26 Sept
Mickleover
2 : 1
Malvern Town
22 Sept
Malvern Town
5 : 2
Gloucester City
12 Sept
Chertsey Town
5 : 0
Malvern Town
07 Sept
Redditch
4 : 0
Malvern Town
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Plymouth Parkway 9 6 2 1 23:8 20
2 Uxbridge 9 6 2 1 19:8 20
3 Hanworth Villa 9 6 1 2 17:8 19
4 Poole Town 9 6 0 3 14:11 18
5 Bath City 9 5 2 2 13:8 17
6 Frome Town 10 4 3 3 17:13 15
7 Chertsey Town 9 4 2 3 20:15 14
8 Taunton Town 9 4 1 4 23:22 13
9 Chichester City 9 4 1 4 14:16 13
10 Evesham 9 4 1 4 14:17 13
11 Berkhamsted Town 10 4 1 5 11:14 13
12 Wimborne 8 3 3 2 10:4 12
13 Gosport Borough 9 3 3 3 12:10 12
14 Yate 9 3 3 3 13:18 12
15 Bracknell Town 9 3 2 4 11:18 11
16 Sholing 8 3 1 4 9:12 10
17 Basingstoke 9 2 3 4 14:16 9
18 Hanwell Town 8 1 4 3 7:10 7
19 Gloucester City 9 1 4 4 12:17 7
20 Chippenham Town 8 2 1 5 7:16 7
21 Havant & Waterlooville 9 1 2 6 9:16 5
22 Malvern Town 9 1 2 6 13:25 5
Promotion - National League South 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)