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Bedford vs Chorley - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League North
lør. 17. okt. 2026
VS
02:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Bedford host Chorley in the National League North. Little to choose between these two on current form. Chorley have shipped 1.36 goals a game lately, while Bedford have conceded 1.14 and scored 1.31. Past meetings favor Bedford slightly — 1-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 17. okt. 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.56 - 1.56) back Bedford to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

31%
Bedford
39%
Uavgjort
30%
Chorley
Uavgjort-prognose: 39% Favoritt: Draw

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

65% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Form's been kind to Bedford lately — more wins on the board than Chorley.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 37.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 17%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 71.8%
Bedford Rent bur 15%
Chorley Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Bedford Chorley
Kamper Spilt 29 28
Seire 13 9
Uavgjort 8 6
Tap 8 13
Mål Scoret 1.31 1.18
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.14 1.36
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.56 1.56
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

17. okt. 2026 National League North
Bedford vs Chorley
0:0
21. feb. 2026 National League North
Bedford vs Chorley
2:0
22. nov. 2025 National League North
Chorley vs Bedford
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Bedford 31 / 100
Chorley 29 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Bedford Chorley

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Chorley Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Defensive concern: Chorley conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Bedford scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Bedford stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Måltrender

Bedford VS Chorley
1.5 Mål scoret 1.88
1.25 Mål sluppet inn 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bedford

(Home)
06 Oct
Wingate & Finchley
1 : 3
Bedford
03 Oct
Bedford
2 : 2
Wingate & Finchley
26 Sept
Bedford
1 : 1
Hereford
19 Sept
Bedford
2 : 1
King’s Lynn
12 Sept
Spalding United
2 : 1
Bedford
Page 1 of 6

Chorley

(Away)
03 Oct
Barton Town
1 : 4
Chorley
26 Sept
Chorley
2 : 1
Spalding United
19 Sept
Warrington Rylands
0 : 1
Chorley
12 Sept
King’s Lynn
2 : 0
Chorley
08 Sept
Chorley
5 : 2
Darlington FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hereford 10 7 2 1 22:5 23
2 Macclesfield 10 6 3 1 13:6 21
3 Oxford City 10 6 2 2 18:7 20
4 South Shields 10 6 2 2 15:13 20
5 Hebburn Town 10 5 3 2 16:16 18
6 Spalding United 10 5 2 3 14:8 17
7 Chester 10 5 2 3 13:9 17
8 King’s Lynn 10 5 1 4 20:15 16
9 Buxton 10 5 1 4 18:18 16
10 Bedford 10 5 1 4 14:14 16
11 Morecambe 10 4 2 4 14:9 14
12 Chorley 10 4 2 4 16:17 14
13 Merthyr Town 10 3 4 3 12:11 13
14 Scarborough Athletic 10 3 3 4 15:12 12
15 Hednesford 10 3 3 4 17:17 12
16 Marine 10 4 0 6 12:12 12
17 Harborough 10 3 3 4 10:12 12
18 Worksop 10 4 0 6 10:16 12
19 Brackley 10 3 3 4 11:19 12
20 Southport 10 2 3 5 13:20 9
21 Telford 10 2 3 5 8:15 9
22 Darlington FC 10 2 1 7 12:21 7
23 Spennymoor 10 1 4 5 11:21 7
24 Radcliffe 10 2 0 8 9:20 6
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)