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Boca Juniors vs Vasco - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South America South America

Copa Sudamericana Estadio Alberto J. Armando, Buenos Aires
ons. 14. okt. 2026
VS
12:30 a.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

A one-off knockout match in the Copa Sudamericana. This one's hard to separate. Vasco have shipped 1.11 goals a game lately, while Boca Juniors have conceded 0.89 and scored 1.48. Past meetings favor Boca Juniors slightly — 2-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 30. mai 2001, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.13 - 1.38) back Boca Juniors to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

36%
Boca Juniors
44%
Uavgjort
20%
Vasco
Uavgjort-prognose: 44% Favoritt: Draw

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

71% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Boca Juniors have won more games recently than Vasco.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Boca Juniors have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Boca Juniors, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 85%
Over 1.5 Mål 69%
Over 2.5 Mål 25%
Over 3.5 Mål 22%
Over 4.5 Mål 10%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 29.2%
Boca Juniors Rent bur 17%
Vasco Rent bur 68%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Boca Juniors Vasco
Kamper Spilt 27 27
Seire 14 12
Uavgjort 8 7
Tap 5 8
Mål Scoret 1.48 1.37
Mål Sluppet Inn 0.89 1.11
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.13 1.38
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

30. mai 2001 Copa Libertadores
Boca Juniors vs Vasco
3:0
23. mai 2001 Copa Libertadores
Vasco vs Boca Juniors
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Boca Juniors 36 / 100
Vasco 32 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Boca Juniors Vasco

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Vasco Win (2)
Sekundærtips Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Prognose No (NG)
Over/Under Tips Under 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Boca Juniors's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Solid form: Boca Juniors remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Vasco let in goals in 59% of their last 27 matches.

Måltrender

Boca Juniors VS Vasco
1.75 Mål scoret 2
0.75 Mål sluppet inn 0.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Boca Juniors

(Home)
03 Oct
Boca Juniors
3 : 0
Union de Santa Fe
27 Sept
Racing Club
2 : 3
Boca Juniors
20 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 2
Boca Juniors
16 Sept
Sao Paulo
1 : 1
Boca Juniors
12 Sept
Boca Juniors
3 : 1
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)
Page 1 of 6

Vasco

(Away)
07 Oct
Botafogo RJ
1 : 2
Vasco
19 Sept
Vasco
5 : 0
Coritiba
15 Sept
Vasco
2 : 0
Santa Fe
12 Sept
Gremio
1 : 2
Vasco
08 Sept
Santa Fe
0 : 0
Vasco
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Boca Juniors 2
O Higgins 1
TBD -
Recoleta -
Bolivar 4
Gremio 2
TBD -
Sao Paulo -
Santa Fe 5
Caracas 0
TBD -
River Plate -
Ind. Medellin 2
Vasco 3
TBD -
Olimpia Asuncion -
Sporting Cristal 0
Bragantino 1
TBD -
Atletico-MG -
Universidad Central 3
Santos 8
TBD -
Macara -
Club Nacional 2
Tigre 4
TBD -
Montevideo City -
Lanus 2
Cienciano 4
TBD -
Botafogo RJ -
1/8-finals
Boca Juniors 7
Recoleta 1
Bolivar 2
Sao Paulo 4
Santa Fe 2
River Plate 1
Vasco 4
Olimpia Asuncion 1
Bragantino 2
Atletico-MG 3
Santos 2
Macara 1
Tigre 1
Montevideo City 3
Cienciano 6
Botafogo RJ 2
Quarter-finals
Boca Juniors 2
Sao Paulo 1
Santa Fe 0
Vasco 2
Atletico-MG 5
Santos 4
Montevideo City 3
Cienciano 2
Semi-finals
Boca Juniors -
Vasco -
Atletico-MG -
Montevideo City -
Final
TBD -
TBD -