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Burnley W vs Durham W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Women's League Cup Turf Moor, Burnley
søn. 18. okt. 2026
VS
01:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

A one-off knockout match in the Women's League Cup. Burnley W go into this one as the clear favorite. Durham W have shipped 2.2 goals a game lately, while Burnley W have conceded 0.67 and scored 2.6. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (2.06 - 1.19) back Burnley W to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

90%
Burnley W
6%
Uavgjort
4%
Durham W
Uavgjort-prognose: 6% Favoritt: Burnley W

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

95% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Form's been kind to Burnley W lately — more wins on the board than Durham W.
  • Win probability leans Burnley W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Burnley W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 37.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 17%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 70.2%
Burnley W Rent bur 20%
Durham W Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Burnley W Durham W
Kamper Spilt 30 30
Seire 21 4
Uavgjort 4 7
Tap 5 19
Mål Scoret 2.6 1.1
Mål Sluppet Inn 0.67 2.2
Forventede Mål (xG) 2.06 1.19
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Burnley W 85 / 100
Durham W 10 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Burnley W Durham W

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Burnley W Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Durham W has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: Durham W has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Burnley W's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Burnley W has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Måltrender

Burnley W VS Durham W
1.5 Mål scoret 1.38
1 Mål sluppet inn 2.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Burnley W

(Home)
04 Oct
Nottingham W
2 : 0
Burnley W
26 Sept
Burnley W
0 : 0
Bristol City W
18 Sept
Wolverhampton W
3 : 0
Burnley W
13 Sept
Burnley W
1 : 2
Sunderland W
04 Sept
Watford W
0 : 0
Burnley W
Page 1 of 6

Durham W

(Away)
04 Oct
Durham W
0 : 3
Newcastle Utd W
30 Sept
Durham W
1 : 5
Manchester United W
27 Sept
Sheffield Utd W
4 : 1
Durham W
20 Sept
Durham W
1 : 2
Nottingham W
13 Sept
Leicester W
4 : 2
Durham W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester United W 2 2 0 0 15:2 6
2 Aston Villa W 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
3 Crystal Palace W 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
4 Liverpool W 2 2 0 0 8:5 6
5 London City Lionesses W 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
6 West Ham W 2 2 0 0 3:1 5
7 Tottenham W 2 1 0 1 1:0 4
8 Brighton W 2 1 0 1 4:1 3
9 Everton W 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
10 Bristol City W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Burnley W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Wolverhampton W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Watford W 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
14 Ipswich W 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
15 Sunderland W 1 0 0 1 2:4 0
16 Newcastle Utd W 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
17 Southampton FC W 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
18 Nottingham W 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
19 Leicester W 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
20 Birmingham W 2 0 0 2 3:6 0
21 Durham W 1 0 0 1 1:5 0
22 Charlton W 2 0 0 2 0:7 0
23 Sheffield Utd W 1 0 0 1 1:10 0
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