Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Caerau Ely vs Treowen

Wales Wales

Cymru South
man. 31. aug. 2026
VS
01:30 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Caerau Ely host Treowen in the Cymru South. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Treowen have shipped 2 goals a game lately, while Caerau Ely have conceded 1.56 and scored 2.29. Head-to-head, Caerau Ely have won 2 to Treowen's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on 10. mars 2026, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 1.23) point toward Caerau Ely. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

13%
Caerau Ely
17%
Uavgjort
70%
Treowen
Uavgjort-prognose: 17% Favoritt: Treowen

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

88% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Look at the last few games and Caerau Ely come out ahead of Treowen on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Treowen's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Cymru South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 23%
Over 4.5 Mål 10%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 76.6%
Caerau Ely Rent bur 20%
Treowen Rent bur 15%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Caerau Ely Treowen
Kamper Spilt 34 28
Seire 16 13
Uavgjort 7 4
Tap 11 11
Mål Scoret 2.29 2.11
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.56 2
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.00 1.23
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

10. mars 2026 Cymru South
Caerau Ely vs Treowen
3:0
27. sep. 2025 Cymru South
Treowen vs Caerau Ely
0:5

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Caerau Ely 16 / 100
Treowen 66 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Caerau Ely Treowen

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Treowen Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Caerau Ely's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Defensive concern: Treowen conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Caerau Ely remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Måltrender

Caerau Ely VS Treowen
1 Mål scoret 1.83
0.63 Mål sluppet inn 1
50% Over 1.5 67%
25% Over 2.5 67%
13% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Caerau Ely

(Home)
21 Aug
Caerau Ely
1 : 5
Pure Swansea
14 Aug
Trethomas Bluebirds
2 : 4
Caerau Ely
07 Aug
Caerau Ely
1 : 1
Ynyshir Albions
01 Aug
Carmarthen Town
4 : 3
Caerau Ely
25 Jul
Caerau Ely
4 : 4
Barnstaple Town
Page 1 of 7

Treowen

(Away)
22 Aug
Carmarthen Town
2 : 4
Treowen
15 Aug
Treowen
3 : 0
Caerphilly
08 Aug
Aberystwyth
1 : 2
Treowen
01 Aug
Treowen
2 : 3
Pontypridd United
18 Apr
Treowen
4 : 1
Carmarthen Town
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pure Swansea 4 4 0 0 14:1 12
2 Pontypridd United 4 4 0 0 12:6 12
3 Treowen 4 3 0 1 11:6 9
4 Carmarthen Town 4 3 0 1 11:9 9
5 Baglan Dragons 4 2 1 1 2:3 7
6 Aberystwyth 3 2 0 1 11:5 6
7 Newport City 4 2 0 2 9:4 6
8 Afan Lido 4 2 0 2 9:8 6
9 Ynyshir Albions 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
10 Cardiff Draconians 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
11 Caerau Ely 4 1 1 2 9:12 4
12 Caerphilly 4 1 1 2 2:7 4
13 Pontardawe 4 1 0 3 5:8 3
14 Trethomas Bluebirds 4 0 2 2 4:7 2
15 Llanelli 4 0 1 3 4:12 1
16 Llantwit Major 4 0 0 4 1:14 0
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)