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Caernarfon vs Briton Ferry - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru Premier The Oval, Caernarfon
fre. 23. okt. 2026
VS
06:45 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Caernarfon host Briton Ferry in the Cymru Premier. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Caernarfon have averaged 2.07 scored and 1.52 conceded recently, against Briton Ferry's 1.22 scored and 1.44 conceded. Past meetings favor Caernarfon slightly — 4-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 1. nov. 2025, ending 4:1. The numbers (2.75 xG vs 1.13) point toward Caernarfon. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

90%
Caernarfon
6%
Uavgjort
4%
Briton Ferry
Uavgjort-prognose: 6% Favoritt: Caernarfon

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

95% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Briton Ferry haven't matched Caernarfon's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Caernarfon a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Caernarfon have taken 4 of them.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 99%
Over 1.5 Mål 88%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 50.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 23%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 72.2%
Caernarfon Rent bur 20%
Briton Ferry Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Caernarfon Briton Ferry
Kamper Spilt 29 27
Seire 14 12
Uavgjort 5 5
Tap 10 10
Mål Scoret 2.07 1.22
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.52 1.44
Forventede Mål (xG) 2.75 1.13
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

1. nov. 2025 Cymru Premier
Caernarfon vs Briton Ferry
4:1
13. sep. 2025 Cymru Premier
Briton Ferry vs Caernarfon
2:5
9. nov. 2024 Cymru Premier
Briton Ferry vs Caernarfon
0:1
14. sep. 2024 Cymru Premier
Caernarfon vs Briton Ferry
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Caernarfon 85 / 100
Briton Ferry 10 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Caernarfon Briton Ferry

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Caernarfon Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Caernarfon's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Briton Ferry let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.

Recent resilience: Caernarfon stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Måltrender

Caernarfon VS Briton Ferry
3.38 Mål scoret 0.88
1.38 Mål sluppet inn 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Caernarfon

(Home)
03 Oct
Caernarfon
0 : 1
Barry Town
26 Sept
Cardiff Metropolitan University
2 : 2
Caernarfon
18 Sept
Caernarfon
9 : 1
Cambrian United
15 Sept
Llandudno FC
1 : 1
Caernarfon
11 Sept
Ammanford Town
0 : 5
Caernarfon
Page 1 of 6

Briton Ferry

(Away)
03 Oct
Briton Ferry
1 : 0
Colwyn Bay
26 Sept
Holywell Town FC
1 : 1
Briton Ferry
18 Sept
Briton Ferry
1 : 1
Trefelin
15 Sept
Penybont
3 : 2
Briton Ferry
11 Sept
Haverfordwest
3 : 1
Briton Ferry
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 TNS 13 12 1 0 44:6 37
2 Connahs Q. 13 10 1 2 30:9 31
3 Penybont 13 9 3 1 25:11 30
4 Caernarfon 13 8 2 3 37:15 26
5 Barry Town 13 8 1 4 28:23 25
6 Colwyn Bay 12 7 1 4 21:15 22
7 Cardiff Metropolitan University 13 6 3 4 24:16 21
8 Airbus UK Broughton FC 13 7 0 6 25:18 21
9 Cambrian United 13 5 3 5 21:33 18
10 Llandudno FC 13 5 1 7 22:23 16
11 Briton Ferry 13 3 3 7 12:22 12
12 Haverfordwest 13 3 1 9 8:19 10
13 Ammanford Town 13 2 3 8 10:32 9
14 Flint Town 12 2 2 8 12:24 8
15 Trefelin 13 1 3 9 8:31 6
16 Holywell Town FC 13 0 2 11 14:44 2
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)