Sport Picks
Caernarfon vs Holywell Town FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Wales
FAW Welsh Cup The Oval, Caernarfon 
Kampsammendrag
A one-off knockout match in the FAW Welsh Cup. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Caernarfon have averaged 2.17 scored and 1.59 conceded recently, against Holywell Town FC's 1.71 scored and 2.58 conceded. Head-to-head, Caernarfon have won 4 to Holywell Town FC's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on 28. aug. 2026, ending 3:5. The numbers (3.13 xG vs 1.00) point toward Caernarfon. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
90%
6%
4%
Uavgjort-prognose: 6% Favoritt: Caernarfon
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
95%
/ Svært Høy Sikkerhet
- Look at the last few games and Caernarfon come out ahead of Holywell Town FC on wins alone.
- Model gives Caernarfon a 90% chance of winning this.
- Caernarfon have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Caernarfon, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
- Caernarfon have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Over 0.5 Mål 99%
Over 1.5 Mål 88%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 56.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 25%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 77.4%
Caernarfon Rent bur 20%
Holywell Town FC Rent bur 10%
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Caernarfon | Holywell Town FC |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 29 | 31 |
| Seire | 16 | 8 |
| Uavgjort | 2 | 5 |
| Tap | 11 | 18 |
| Mål Scoret | 2.17 | 1.71 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.59 | 2.58 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 3.13 | 1.00 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
28. aug. 2026 Cymru Premier
Holywell Town FC vs Caernarfon
3:5
10. sep. 2025 League Cup
Caernarfon vs Holywell Town FC
3:2
24. mars 2018 Cymru Alliance
Holywell Town FC vs Caernarfon
1:1
18. nov. 2017 Cymru Alliance
Caernarfon vs Holywell Town FC
4:2
18. mars 2017 Cymru Alliance
Caernarfon vs Holywell Town FC
6:2
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Caernarfon 85 / 100
Holywell Town FC 10 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Caernarfon Holywell Town FC
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Hovedtips Caernarfon Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Caernarfon's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Defensive concern: Holywell Town FC conceded in 90% of 31 recent games.
H2H data points to 5.80 goals as a typical output.
Caernarfon has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Måltrender
Caernarfon VS Holywell Town FC
3.13 Mål scoret 1
1 Mål sluppet inn 3.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Caernarfon
(Home) 06 Nov
Penybont
2 : 0 Caernarfon
30 Oct
Airbus UK Broughton FC
3 : 2 Caernarfon
23 Oct
Caernarfon
3 : 1 Briton Ferry
17 Oct
Flint Town
1 : 3 Caernarfon
09 Oct
Haverfordwest
1 : 2 Caernarfon
Page 1 of 6
23 Oct
Caernarfon
3 : 1 Briton Ferry
03 Oct
Caernarfon
0 : 1 Barry Town
18 Sept
Caernarfon
9 : 1 Cambrian United
04 Sept
Caernarfon
3 : 0 Flint Town
31 Aug
Caernarfon
2 : 3 TNS
Page 1 of 3
Holywell Town FC
(Away) 06 Nov
Holywell Town FC
2 : 3 Airbus UK Broughton FC
30 Oct
Flint Town
5 : 0 Holywell Town FC
17 Oct
Llay Welfare
3 : 4 Holywell Town FC
09 Oct
Holywell Town FC
1 : 6 TNS
03 Oct
Ammanford Town
2 : 1 Holywell Town FC
Page 1 of 7
30 Oct
Flint Town
5 : 0 Holywell Town FC
17 Oct
Llay Welfare
3 : 4 Holywell Town FC
03 Oct
Ammanford Town
2 : 1 Holywell Town FC
18 Sept
Haverfordwest
1 : 0 Holywell Town FC
11 Sept
Cambrian United
2 : 1 Holywell Town FC
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Llannefydd 0
Llandudno FC 1
Cefn Albion 2
Felinheli 3
Trefelin 4
Llantwit Major 1
Coedpoeth 4
Guilsfield 3
Flint Town 1
Caernarfon 3
Llay Welfare 3
Holywell Town FC 4
Evans Williams 3
Rockspur 4
Pontarddulais 3
Goytre Utd 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 1
TNS 2
Briton Ferry 5
Afan United 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 4
Ynyshir Albions 0
Penycae FC 1
Dolgellau Athletic 4
Caerau Ely 6
Llanelli 0
Brickfield Rangers 2
Llangefni 0
Afan Lido 2
Penybont 3
Radnor Valley 1
Cardiff Draconians 3
Buckley 2
Colwyn Bay 3
Aberystwyth 5
Prestatyn 1
Llantwit Fardre 1
Baglan Dragons 3
Barry Town 2
Tredegar Town 0
Bala 3
Holyhead 4
Blaen-y-Maes 5
Ely Rangers 2
Llangennech 2
Pontardawe 1
Carmarthen Town 4
Newport City 5
Haverfordwest 4
Cardiff Corries 0
Cwmaman Institute 2
Ammanford Town 4
Newtown 7
Llanuwchllyn 0
Caerphilly 1
Chepstow Town 0
Cambrian United 5
Trethomas Bluebirds 0
Denbigh 0
Bangor 1876 2
Connahs Q. 4
Porthmadog 0
Llysfaen 0
Mochdre Sports 2
1/16-finals
Llandudno FC -
Felinheli -
Trefelin -
Coedpoeth -
Caernarfon -
Holywell Town FC -
Rockspur -
Pontarddulais -
TNS -
Briton Ferry -
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
Dolgellau Athletic -
Caerau Ely -
Brickfield Rangers -
Penybont -
Cardiff Draconians -
Colwyn Bay -
Aberystwyth -
Baglan Dragons -
Barry Town -
Holyhead -
Blaen-y-Maes -
Llangennech -
Newport City -
Haverfordwest -
Ammanford Town -
Newtown -
Caerphilly -
Cambrian United -
Bangor 1876 -
Connahs Q. -
Mochdre Sports -
1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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