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Cardiff Draconians vs Aberystwyth - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru South
lør. 21. nov. 2026
VS
02:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Cardiff Draconians host Aberystwyth in the Cymru South. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Cardiff Draconians have averaged 1.66 scored and 1.86 conceded recently, against Aberystwyth's 1.72 scored and 1.24 conceded. Head-to-head, Cardiff Draconians have won 1 to Aberystwyth's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on 24. jan. 2026, ending 3:2. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 2.38, favoring Aberystwyth. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

31%
Cardiff Draconians
39%
Uavgjort
30%
Aberystwyth
Uavgjort-prognose: 39% Favoritt: Draw

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

65% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Look at the last few games and Aberystwyth come out ahead of Cardiff Draconians on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Cymru South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 69%
Over 4.5 Mål 31%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 75%
Cardiff Draconians Rent bur 10%
Aberystwyth Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Cardiff Draconians Aberystwyth
Kamper Spilt 29 29
Seire 9 15
Uavgjort 5 4
Tap 15 10
Mål Scoret 1.66 1.72
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.86 1.24
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.31 2.38
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

24. jan. 2026 Cymru South
Aberystwyth vs Cardiff Draconians
3:2
6. sep. 2025 Cymru South
Cardiff Draconians vs Aberystwyth
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Cardiff Draconians 30 / 100
Aberystwyth 29 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Cardiff Draconians Aberystwyth

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Aberystwyth Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Cardiff Draconians scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Aberystwyth's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Cardiff Draconians stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Måltrender

Cardiff Draconians VS Aberystwyth
1.88 Mål scoret 2.63
2.13 Mål sluppet inn 0.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Cardiff Draconians

(Home)
31 Oct
Cardiff Draconians
2 : 0
Afan Lido
23 Oct
Trethomas Bluebirds
3 : 1
Cardiff Draconians
17 Oct
Radnor Valley
1 : 3
Cardiff Draconians
10 Oct
Cardiff Draconians
2 : 2
Carmarthen Town
03 Oct
Cardiff Draconians
1 : 1
Newport City
Page 1 of 6

Aberystwyth

(Away)
31 Oct
Aberystwyth
2 : 1
Trethomas Bluebirds
17 Oct
Aberystwyth
5 : 1
Prestatyn
10 Oct
Aberystwyth
0 : 1
Caerau Ely
03 Oct
Pontypridd United
1 : 3
Aberystwyth
25 Sept
Aberystwyth
0 : 0
Pure Swansea
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pontypridd United 12 7 3 2 32:21 24
2 Aberystwyth 10 7 1 2 24:10 22
3 Caerau Ely 12 7 1 4 23:20 22
4 Pure Swansea 10 6 3 1 32:15 21
5 Ynyshir Albions 10 5 4 1 19:11 19
6 Baglan Dragons 12 5 2 5 12:13 17
7 Trethomas Bluebirds 12 4 4 4 24:21 16
8 Treowen 11 5 1 5 20:21 16
9 Carmarthen Town 12 4 3 5 24:26 15
10 Afan Lido 13 4 3 6 21:24 15
11 Caerphilly 12 4 2 6 15:21 14
12 Pontardawe 10 4 1 5 17:18 13
13 Newport City 10 3 3 4 19:15 12
14 Cardiff Draconians 10 3 3 4 14:17 12
15 Llantwit Major 11 3 2 6 12:24 11
16 Llanelli 13 0 2 11 9:40 2
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)