Sport Picks
Cardiff Draconians vs Caerau Ely - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Wales
Cymru South 
Kamphendelser
3'
3'
Harling L.
9'
9'
Bishop L.
Penalty Missed
50'
50'
Harling L.
Kampsammendrag
The Cymru South game between Cardiff Draconians and Caerau Ely finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Caerau Ely.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
22%
28%
50%
Uavgjort-prognose: 28% Favoritt: Caerau Ely
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
76%
/ Høy Sikkerhet
- Look at the last few games and Caerau Ely come out ahead of Cardiff Draconians on wins alone.
- Caerau Ely are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Regular Cymru South form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
- Caerau Ely have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Over 0.5 Mål 99%
Over 1.5 Mål 94%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 63%
Over 4.5 Mål 28%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 74.2%
Cardiff Draconians Rent bur 10%
Caerau Ely Rent bur 10%
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Cardiff Draconians | Caerau Ely |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 28 | 29 |
| Seire | 9 | 17 |
| Uavgjort | 5 | 6 |
| Tap | 14 | 6 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.61 | 2.28 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.79 | 1.14 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.69 | 2.06 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
26. sep. 2026 Cymru South
Cardiff Draconians vs Caerau Ely
1:3
2. jan. 2026 Cymru South
Caerau Ely vs Cardiff Draconians
2:1
16. aug. 2025 Cymru South
Cardiff Draconians vs Caerau Ely
0:1
Nøkkelspiller-Analyse
Toppspillere og forventet involvering
Cardiff Draconians Sammenlign
Snitt xG / kamp 1.3
Snitt xA / kamp 0.84
Caerau Ely Sammenlign
Toppscorer Harling L.
2 Mål Assister Bahumaid J.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.87
Snitt xA / kamp 1.14
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Cardiff Draconians 22 / 100
Caerau Ely 47 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Cardiff Draconians Caerau Ely
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Hovedtips Caerau Ely Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Attacking prowess: Cardiff Draconians scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.
Games between these two average 2.67 goals.
Cardiff Draconians went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Caerau Ely conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.
Måltrender
Cardiff Draconians VS Caerau Ely
2 Mål scoret 2.5
1.63 Mål sluppet inn 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Cardiff Draconians
(Home) 31 Oct
Cardiff Draconians
2 : 0 Afan Lido
23 Oct
Trethomas Bluebirds
3 : 1 Cardiff Draconians
17 Oct
Radnor Valley
1 : 3 Cardiff Draconians
10 Oct
Cardiff Draconians
2 : 2 Carmarthen Town
03 Oct
Cardiff Draconians
1 : 1 Newport City
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Cardiff Draconians
2 : 0 Afan Lido
10 Oct
Cardiff Draconians
2 : 2 Carmarthen Town
03 Oct
Cardiff Draconians
1 : 1 Newport City
26 Sept
Cardiff Draconians
1 : 3 Caerau Ely
12 Sept
Cardiff Draconians
2 : 1 Baglan Dragons
Page 1 of 4
Caerau Ely
(Away) 30 Oct
Caerphilly
0 : 1 Caerau Ely
23 Oct
Caerau Ely
0 : 2 Llantwit Major
16 Oct
Caerau Ely
6 : 0 Llanelli
10 Oct
Aberystwyth
0 : 1 Caerau Ely
02 Oct
Caerau Ely
2 : 0 Afan Lido
Page 1 of 6
30 Oct
Caerphilly
0 : 1 Caerau Ely
10 Oct
Aberystwyth
0 : 1 Caerau Ely
26 Sept
Cardiff Draconians
1 : 3 Caerau Ely
28 Aug
Baglan Dragons
3 : 1 Caerau Ely
14 Aug
Trethomas Bluebirds
2 : 4 Caerau Ely
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pontypridd United | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 35:22 | 27 |
| 2 | Aberystwyth | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 24:10 | 22 |
| 3 | Caerau Ely | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 24:23 | 22 |
| 4 | Pure Swansea | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 32:15 | 21 |
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 14:14 | 20 |
| 6 | Ynyshir Albions | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 20:13 | 19 |
| 7 | Afan Lido | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 24:26 | 18 |
| 8 | Treowen | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 22:23 | 17 |
| 9 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 24:21 | 16 |
| 10 | Carmarthen Town | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 24:26 | 15 |
| 11 | Pontardawe | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 20:21 | 14 |
| 12 | Caerphilly | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 17:24 | 14 |
| 13 | Newport City | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 21:17 | 13 |
| 14 | Cardiff Draconians | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:17 | 12 |
| 15 | Llantwit Major | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12:24 | 11 |
| 16 | Llanelli | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 12:43 | 3 |
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