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Cardiff vs Watford - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Championship Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff
tir. 13. okt. 2026
VS
06:45 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Cardiff host Watford in the Championship. Little to choose between these two on current form. Watford have shipped 1.68 goals a game lately, while Cardiff have conceded 1.57 and scored 2.04. Head-to-head, Cardiff have won 3 to Watford's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on 14. jan. 2025, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.19) point toward Cardiff. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

30%
Cardiff
39%
Uavgjort
31%
Watford
Uavgjort-prognose: 39% Favoritt: Draw

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

65% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Watford haven't matched Cardiff's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 19%
Over 4.5 Mål 9%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 75.4%
Cardiff Rent bur 20%
Watford Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Cardiff Watford
Kamper Spilt 28 28
Seire 11 7
Uavgjort 8 6
Tap 9 15
Mål Scoret 2.04 0.96
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.57 1.68
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.38 1.19
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

14. jan. 2025 Championship
Cardiff vs Watford
1:1
29. des. 2024 Championship
Watford vs Cardiff
1:2
3. feb. 2024 Championship
Watford vs Cardiff
0:1
7. okt. 2023 Championship
Cardiff vs Watford
1:1
19. apr. 2023 Championship
Watford vs Cardiff
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Cardiff 31 / 100
Watford 30 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Cardiff Watford

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Cardiff Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Watford's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

Cardiff scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Watford's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Måltrender

Cardiff VS Watford
1 Mål scoret 0.75
1.63 Mål sluppet inn 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cardiff

(Home)
19 Sept
Cardiff
3 : 1
Charlton
12 Sept
Bolton
1 : 0
Cardiff
08 Sept
Cardiff
1 : 1
Stoke City
05 Sept
Portsmouth
2 : 0
Cardiff
02 Sept
QPR
2 : 1
Cardiff
Page 1 of 6

Watford

(Away)
18 Sept
Bristol City
1 : 0
Watford
12 Sept
Watford
1 : 2
Stoke City
08 Sept
Watford
2 : 1
Preston
05 Sept
West Brom
1 : 0
Watford
01 Sept
Swansea
2 : 0
Watford
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Swansea 8 5 2 1 13:6 17
2 West Ham 8 4 3 1 22:11 15
3 Middlesbrough 8 4 3 1 16:12 15
4 Wolves 7 4 2 1 15:10 14
5 West Brom 8 4 2 2 10:8 14
6 QPR 8 3 4 1 10:7 13
7 Stoke City 8 4 1 3 13:12 13
8 Bristol City 8 4 1 3 11:12 13
9 Charlton 8 3 3 2 7:10 12
10 Birmingham 8 2 5 1 12:11 11
11 Millwall 8 3 2 3 15:15 11
12 Lincoln City 8 3 2 3 7:8 11
13 Southampton 8 4 2 2 19:10 10
14 Wrexham 8 2 4 2 9:12 10
15 Bolton 8 3 1 4 11:15 10
16 Blackburn 8 2 3 3 12:12 9
17 Norwich 8 3 0 5 16:17 9
18 Sheffield Utd 8 2 3 3 9:11 9
19 Portsmouth 7 2 2 3 9:10 8
20 Watford 8 2 2 4 7:10 8
21 Cardiff 8 1 4 3 10:12 7
22 Derby 8 1 2 5 7:14 5
23 Preston 8 1 1 6 8:15 4
24 Burnley 8 0 4 4 9:17 4
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)