Sport Picks
Kamphendelser
4'
4'
Kelly G.
Assist: Ajiboye D.
7'
7'
McAdam K.
43'
43'
Daley-Campbell V.
Kampsammendrag
The National League game between Carlisle and Southend finished 2-2.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
42%
20%
38%
Uavgjort-prognose: 20% Favoritt: Carlisle
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
67%
/ Middels Sikkerhet
- Look at the last few games and Southend come out ahead of Carlisle on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Carlisle's way, sitting at 42%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Over 0.5 Mål 99%
Over 1.5 Mål 94%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 70%
Over 4.5 Mål 32%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 79%
Carlisle Rent bur 10%
Southend Rent bur 10%
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Carlisle | Southend |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 28 | 30 |
| Seire | 14 | 16 |
| Uavgjort | 7 | 7 |
| Tap | 7 | 7 |
| Mål Scoret | 2 | 2.17 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.29 | 1.37 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.75 | 2.19 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
12. sep. 2026 National League
Carlisle vs Southend
2:2
7. mars 2026 National League
Carlisle vs Southend
2:2
8. nov. 2025 National League
Southend vs Carlisle
1:2
3. apr. 2021 League Two
Southend vs Carlisle
0:2
19. sep. 2020 League Two
Carlisle vs Southend
2:0
Nøkkelspiller-Analyse
Toppspillere og forventet involvering
Carlisle Sammenlign
Toppscorer Kelly G.
2 Mål Snitt xG / kamp 1.35
Snitt xA / kamp 0.88
Southend Sammenlign
Toppscorer Chambers-Parillon L.
1 Mål Assister McAdam K.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.99
Snitt xA / kamp 1.22
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Carlisle 40 / 100
Southend 36 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Carlisle Southend
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Hovedtips Draw (X)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Carlisle found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).
Defensive concern: Southend conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Carlisle stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Måltrender
Carlisle VS Southend
1.63 Mål scoret 2.63
1.75 Mål sluppet inn 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 88%
Recent Form & Match History
Carlisle
(Home) 03 Oct
Aldershot
1 : 3 Carlisle
29 Sept
AFC Fylde
0 : 2 Carlisle
26 Sept
Carlisle
2 : 5 Woking
19 Sept
Eastleigh
1 : 0 Carlisle
15 Sept
Carlisle
1 : 1 Forest Green
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Carlisle
2 : 5 Woking
15 Sept
Carlisle
1 : 1 Forest Green
12 Sept
Carlisle
2 : 2 Southend
31 Aug
Carlisle
4 : 2 Scunthorpe
22 Aug
Carlisle
4 : 1 Hornchurch
Page 1 of 3
Southend
(Away) 03 Oct
Southend
3 : 1 AFC Fylde
30 Sept
Eastleigh
1 : 1 Southend
26 Sept
Southend
2 : 4 Barrow
19 Sept
Gateshead
1 : 6 Southend
15 Sept
Southend
3 : 1 Tamworth
Page 1 of 6
30 Sept
Eastleigh
1 : 1 Southend
19 Sept
Gateshead
1 : 6 Southend
12 Sept
Carlisle
2 : 2 Southend
31 Aug
Woking
1 : 1 Southend
22 Aug
Solihull Moors
1 : 3 Southend
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 32:13 | 32 |
| 2 | Harrogate | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 28:17 | 25 |
| 3 | Southend | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 29:18 | 24 |
| 4 | Yeovil | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 26:15 | 22 |
| 5 | Worthing FC | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 22:18 | 21 |
| 6 | Altrincham | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 17:18 | 21 |
| 7 | AFC Fylde | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22:18 | 20 |
| 8 | Kidderminster | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15:12 | 19 |
| 9 | Barrow | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20:15 | 18 |
| 10 | Aldershot | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17:13 | 18 |
| 11 | Sutton | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14:16 | 18 |
| 12 | Hornchurch | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 13:19 | 18 |
| 13 | Halifax | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18:14 | 17 |
| 14 | Carlisle | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 23:20 | 16 |
| 15 | Woking | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 20:19 | 15 |
| 16 | Forest Green | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17:18 | 15 |
| 17 | Eastleigh | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14:18 | 15 |
| 18 | Tamworth | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 20:28 | 14 |
| 19 | Wealdstone | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 17:18 | 12 |
| 20 | Boston United | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14:21 | 12 |
| 21 | Scunthorpe | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15:19 | 10 |
| 22 | Hartlepool | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 23 | Solihull Moors | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 13:30 | 7 |
| 24 | Gateshead | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7:27 | 4 |
Promotion - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
