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Central Esp. vs Danubio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uruguay Uruguay

Copa Uruguay Parque Palermo, Montevideo
tor. 15. okt. 2026
VS
07:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

A one-off knockout match in the Copa Uruguay. This one's hard to separate. Central Esp. have averaged 1.18 scored and 1.43 conceded recently, against Danubio's 0.71 scored and 1.32 conceded. Past meetings favor Central Esp. slightly — 2-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 12. apr. 2026, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.13, favoring Central Esp.. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

18%
Central Esp.
22%
Uavgjort
60%
Danubio
Uavgjort-prognose: 22% Favoritt: Danubio

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

82% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Form's been kind to Central Esp. lately — more wins on the board than Danubio.
  • Model gives Danubio a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Central Esp. have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Central Esp., who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 19%
Over 4.5 Mål 9%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 71.4%
Central Esp. Rent bur 20%
Danubio Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Central Esp. Danubio
Kamper Spilt 28 28
Seire 9 3
Uavgjort 8 13
Tap 11 12
Mål Scoret 1.18 0.71
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.43 1.32
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.44 1.13
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

12. apr. 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Central Esp. vs Danubio
2:2
15. sep. 2021 Segunda Division
Danubio vs Central Esp.
1:1
2. juni 2021 Segunda Division
Central Esp. vs Danubio
0:0
4. mai 2013 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Danubio vs Central Esp.
0:2
10. nov. 2012 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Central Esp. vs Danubio
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Central Esp. 20 / 100
Danubio 56 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Central Esp. Danubio

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Danubio Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Danubio has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Central Esp. scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Central Esp. remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Måltrender

Central Esp. VS Danubio
1.38 Mål scoret 0.63
1.63 Mål sluppet inn 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Central Esp.

(Home)
03 Oct
Maldonado
3 : 0
Central Esp.
27 Sept
Central Esp.
1 : 2
Liverpool M.
21 Sept
Central Esp.
1 : 4
Montevideo City
17 Sept
Central Esp.
1 : 1
Club Oriental De Futbol
12 Sept
Cerro Largo
0 : 0
Central Esp.
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Danubio

(Away)
04 Oct
Danubio
2 : 1
Cerro Largo
27 Sept
Defensor Sp.
1 : 0
Danubio
24 Sept
Danubio
1 : 1
Penarol
20 Sept
Danubio
1 : 1
Wanderers
13 Sept
Juventud
1 : 1
Danubio
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Cerrito 2
Wanderers 3
Maldonado -
Albion -
Boston River -
River Plate Montevideo -
Central Esp. -
Danubio -
Plaza Colonia 0
Juventud 1
Club Nacional -
Rentistas -
Liverpool M. -
Cerro Largo -
Penarol -
Montevideo City -
Quarter-finals
Wanderers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Juventud -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -