Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cerro Largo vs Central Esp.

Uruguay Uruguay

Liga AUF Uruguaya Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla, Melo
lør. 12. sep. 2026
VS
10:30 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Cerro Largo host Central Esp. in the Liga AUF Uruguaya. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Central Esp. have shipped 1.23 goals a game lately, while Cerro Largo have conceded 1.1 and scored 1.07. Head-to-head, Cerro Largo have won 4 to Central Esp.'s 0, with 1 draws. They last met on 25. juli 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (0.88 xG vs 0.94) point toward Cerro Largo. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

36%
Cerro Largo
30%
Uavgjort
34%
Central Esp.
Uavgjort-prognose: 30% Favoritt: Cerro Largo

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

66% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Central Esp. carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Cerro Largo's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Liga AUF Uruguaya form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Cerro Largo have taken 4 of them.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 35%
Over 3.5 Mål 0%
Over 4.5 Mål 0%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 69.4%
Cerro Largo Rent bur 20%
Central Esp. Rent bur 17%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Cerro Largo Central Esp.
Kamper Spilt 30 30
Seire 9 12
Uavgjort 9 7
Tap 12 11
Mål Scoret 1.07 1.23
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.1 1.23
Forventede Mål (xG) 0.88 0.94
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

25. juli 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Central Esp. vs Cerro Largo
0:1
15. mars 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Central Esp. vs Cerro Largo
1:3
22. sep. 2018 Segunda Division
Central Esp. vs Cerro Largo
0:0
28. apr. 2018 Segunda Division
Cerro Largo vs Central Esp.
1:0
15. nov. 2017 Segunda Division
Cerro Largo vs Central Esp.
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Cerro Largo 36 / 100
Central Esp. 34 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Cerro Largo Central Esp.

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Draw (X)
Sekundærtips Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Under 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Cerro Largo's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Central Esp.'s defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Cerro Largo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Måltrender

Cerro Largo VS Central Esp.
0.88 Mål scoret 0.63
1.25 Mål sluppet inn 0.88
88% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cerro Largo

(Home)
04 Sept
Montevideo City
2 : 1
Cerro Largo
30 Aug
Cerro Largo
1 : 1
Liverpool M.
26 Aug
Plaza Colonia
2 : 1
Cerro Largo
22 Aug
Cerro Largo
1 : 1
Defensor Sp.
15 Aug
Wanderers
1 : 1
Cerro Largo
Page 1 of 6

Central Esp.

(Away)
06 Sept
Central Esp.
1 : 1
Defensor Sp.
02 Sept
Central Esp.
3 : 0
Juventud
28 Aug
Wanderers
3 : 0
Central Esp.
22 Aug
Central Esp.
0 : 1
Juventud
16 Aug
Penarol
2 : 1
Central Esp.
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Liverpool M. 5 4 1 0 11:1 13
2 Montevideo City 4 4 0 0 11:3 12
3 CA Cerro 5 3 1 1 5:6 10
4 Juventud 5 2 2 1 6:4 8
5 Maldonado 5 2 2 1 6:4 8
6 Racing Montevideo 5 2 2 1 5:3 8
7 Boston River 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
8 Penarol 4 2 1 1 6:2 7
9 Club Nacional 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
10 Wanderers 5 2 1 2 6:8 7
11 Progreso 5 2 0 3 2:4 6
12 Cerro Largo 5 0 4 1 5:6 4
13 Central Esp. 5 1 1 3 3:7 4
14 Danubio 5 0 2 3 0:6 2
15 Defensor Sp. 5 0 2 3 3:10 2
16 Albion 5 0 0 5 3:8 0
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs)