Sport Picks
Cerro Largo vs Progreso - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Uruguay
Liga AUF Uruguaya Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla, Melo 
Kampsammendrag
Cerro Largo host Progreso in the Liga AUF Uruguaya. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Cerro Largo at 0.83 goals for, 1.1 against; Progreso at 0.79 for, 1.34 against. Head-to-head, Cerro Largo have won 5 to Progreso's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on 3. mai 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (0.81 - 1.25) back Cerro Largo to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- Cerro Largo haven't matched Progreso's recent run of results.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Liga AUF Uruguaya form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
- History favors Cerro Largo here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Cerro Largo | Progreso |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 29 | 29 |
| Seire | 6 | 9 |
| Uavgjort | 10 | 1 |
| Tap | 13 | 19 |
| Mål Scoret | 0.83 | 0.79 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.1 | 1.34 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 0.81 | 1.25 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Progreso let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.
Cerro Largo found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Cerro Largo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Måltrender
Recent Form & Match History
Cerro Largo
(Home)Progreso
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool M. | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 22:8 | 30 |
| 2 | Montevideo City | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 26:14 | 28 |
| 3 | Club Nacional | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 19:13 | 26 |
| 4 | Maldonado | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 18:10 | 22 |
| 5 | Penarol | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 17:9 | 22 |
| 6 | Racing Montevideo | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 18:14 | 19 |
| 7 | Progreso | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 13:15 | 19 |
| 8 | Juventud | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 12:10 | 18 |
| 9 | CA Cerro | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15:19 | 18 |
| 10 | Wanderers | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 14:19 | 16 |
| 11 | Boston River | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15:17 | 15 |
| 12 | Albion | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 15:20 | 13 |
| 13 | Defensor Sp. | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 16:23 | 12 |
| 14 | Danubio | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 7:15 | 10 |
| 15 | Cerro Largo | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 10:17 | 9 |
| 16 | Central Esp. | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8:22 | 8 |
