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Charlotte Independence vs FC Naples - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL League One American Legion Memorial Stadium, Charlotte, NC
man. 2. nov. 2026
VS
12:00 a.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

The first leg ended 4-3. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Charlotte Independence have averaged 2.34 scored and 1.52 conceded recently, against FC Naples's 1.14 scored and 1.76 conceded. Past meetings favor Charlotte Independence slightly — 2-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 13. juni 2026, ending 4:3. xG projections (1.56 - 1.50) back Charlotte Independence to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

31%
Charlotte Independence
40%
Uavgjort
29%
FC Naples
Uavgjort-prognose: 40% Favoritt: Draw

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

66% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Charlotte Independence carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Charlotte Independence have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor FC Naples, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 70%
Over 4.5 Mål 32%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 75%
Charlotte Independence Rent bur 16%
FC Naples Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Charlotte Independence FC Naples
Kamper Spilt 29 29
Seire 20 11
Uavgjort 4 2
Tap 5 16
Mål Scoret 2.34 1.14
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.52 1.76
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.56 1.50
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

13. juni 2026 USL League One
Charlotte Independence vs FC Naples
4:3
3. juni 2026 USL League One
FC Naples vs Charlotte Independence
1:5
25. okt. 2025 USL League One
FC Naples vs Charlotte Independence
2:0
12. sep. 2025 USL League One
Charlotte Independence vs FC Naples
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Charlotte Independence 31 / 100
FC Naples 28 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Charlotte Independence FC Naples

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Draw (X)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Attacking prowess: Charlotte Independence scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

FC Naples's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Charlotte Independence went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Måltrender

Charlotte Independence VS FC Naples
2.25 Mål scoret 1.38
1.63 Mål sluppet inn 0.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Charlotte Independence

(Home)
24 Oct
Portland Hearts of Pine
4 : 1
Charlotte Independence
17 Oct
Greenville Triumph
0 : 3
Charlotte Independence
10 Oct
Charlotte Independence
3 : 0
New York Cosmos
03 Oct
Sarasota Paradise
2 : 3
Charlotte Independence
26 Sept
Charlotte Independence
1 : 1
Fort Wayne
Page 1 of 6

FC Naples

(Away)
24 Oct
FC Naples
1 : 0
Spokane Velocity
21 Oct
Sarasota Paradise
2 : 3
FC Naples
11 Oct
Corpus Christi FC
0 : 1
FC Naples
07 Oct
FC Naples
2 : 0
Richmond Kickers
03 Oct
FC Naples
2 : 1
New York Cosmos
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Charlotte Independence -
FC Naples -
Forward Madison 2
Spokane Velocity 1
Union Omaha 1
Chattanooga Red Wolves 2
Athletic Club Boise -
One Knoxville -
Semi-finals
TBD -
Forward Madison -
Chattanooga Red Wolves -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -