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Chelmsford vs Tonbridge - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League South
lør. 24. okt. 2026
VS
02:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Chelmsford host Tonbridge in the National League South. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Chelmsford at 1.75 goals for, 1.07 against; Tonbridge at 1.66 for, 1.14 against. Past meetings favor Chelmsford slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 26. jan. 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.38, favoring Chelmsford. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

70%
Chelmsford
17%
Uavgjort
13%
Tonbridge
Uavgjort-prognose: 17% Favoritt: Chelmsford

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

88% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Tonbridge carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Chelmsford taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 25.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 11%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 73%
Chelmsford Rent bur 17%
Tonbridge Rent bur 12%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Chelmsford Tonbridge
Kamper Spilt 28 29
Seire 11 14
Uavgjort 13 4
Tap 4 11
Mål Scoret 1.75 1.66
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.07 1.14
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.19 1.38
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

26. jan. 2026 National League South
Chelmsford vs Tonbridge
1:0
4. nov. 2025 National League South
Tonbridge vs Chelmsford
2:4
22. mars 2025 National League South
Tonbridge vs Chelmsford
2:1
19. aug. 2024 National League South
Chelmsford vs Tonbridge
1:1
13. apr. 2024 National League South
Chelmsford vs Tonbridge
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Chelmsford 66 / 100
Tonbridge 14 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Chelmsford Tonbridge

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Chelmsford Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Chelmsford scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Chelmsford has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Tonbridge has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Måltrender

Chelmsford VS Tonbridge
1.13 Mål scoret 1.88
0.88 Mål sluppet inn 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chelmsford

(Home)
03 Oct
Brackley
0 : 2
Chelmsford
26 Sept
Chelmsford
0 : 0
Horsham FC
19 Sept
Canvey Island
0 : 1
Chelmsford
12 Sept
Hampton & Richmond
1 : 1
Chelmsford
08 Sept
Dorking Wanderers
3 : 3
Chelmsford
Page 1 of 6

Tonbridge

(Away)
03 Oct
Tonbridge
0 : 1
Torquay
26 Sept
Tonbridge
1 : 2
Ebbsfleet
19 Sept
Tonbridge
2 : 1
Ramsgate
12 Sept
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1
Tonbridge
08 Sept
Tonbridge
0 : 1
Maidstone
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maidstone 10 6 1 3 18:11 19
2 Dagenham & Red. 10 6 1 3 10:7 19
3 Salisbury 10 5 3 2 18:7 18
4 Truro 10 5 3 2 15:7 18
5 Billericay 10 5 3 2 21:14 18
6 Weston-super-Mare 10 5 2 3 18:10 17
7 Farnham 10 5 2 3 16:14 17
8 Dover Ath. 10 5 2 3 17:16 17
9 Dorking Wanderers 10 4 4 2 22:16 16
10 Tonbridge 10 4 2 4 19:11 14
11 Maidenhead 10 3 4 3 12:11 13
12 Hemel Hempstead 10 3 4 3 10:10 13
13 Torquay 10 3 4 3 13:14 13
14 Ebbsfleet 6 3 3 0 7:3 12
15 Folkestone 10 3 3 4 15:12 12
16 Chelmsford 9 1 8 0 9:8 11
17 Horsham FC 9 2 5 2 9:10 11
18 Farnborough 9 3 2 4 8:13 11
19 Chesham 10 3 1 6 16:19 10
20 AFC Totton 9 3 1 5 8:15 10
21 Braintree 10 3 1 6 17:25 10
22 Hampton & Richmond 10 2 2 6 11:24 8
23 Walton & Hersham 10 1 2 7 9:27 5
24 Slough Town 10 1 1 8 10:24 4
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)