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Chelsea vs Bournemouth - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Premier League Stamford Bridge, London
lør. 10. okt. 2026
VS
02:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Chelsea host Bournemouth in the Premier League. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Chelsea at 1.93 goals for, 1.93 against; Bournemouth at 2.03 for, 1.17 against. Past meetings favor Chelsea slightly — 2-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 30. des. 2025, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.94 vs 1.69, favoring Bournemouth. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

31%
Chelsea
40%
Uavgjort
29%
Bournemouth
Uavgjort-prognose: 40% Favoritt: Draw

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

66% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Bournemouth's 2.03 goals per match outpaces what Chelsea have produced (1.93).
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 99%
Over 1.5 Mål 94%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 70%
Over 4.5 Mål 32%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 77%
Chelsea Rent bur 13%
Bournemouth Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Chelsea Bournemouth
Kamper Spilt 30 30
Seire 12 12
Uavgjort 3 14
Tap 15 4
Mål Scoret 1.93 2.03
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.93 1.17
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.94 1.69
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

30. des. 2025 Premier League
Chelsea vs Bournemouth
2:2
6. des. 2025 Premier League
Bournemouth vs Chelsea
0:0
14. jan. 2025 Premier League
Chelsea vs Bournemouth
2:2
14. sep. 2024 Premier League
Bournemouth vs Chelsea
0:1
19. mai 2024 Premier League
Chelsea vs Bournemouth
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Chelsea 31 / 100
Bournemouth 28 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Chelsea Bournemouth

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Draw (X)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Chelsea scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Bournemouth let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Chelsea remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Måltrender

Chelsea VS Bournemouth
2.38 Mål scoret 1.88
1.5 Mål sluppet inn 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Chelsea

(Home)
18 Sept
Brentford
3 : 0
Chelsea
12 Sept
Chelsea
2 : 2
Hull City
09 Sept
Chelsea
6 : 3
Leeds
06 Sept
Arsenal
2 : 1
Chelsea
30 Aug
Chelsea
4 : 3
Brighton
Page 1 of 6

Bournemouth

(Away)
20 Sept
Bournemouth
0 : 1
Liverpool
17 Sept
Real Sociedad
1 : 2
Bournemouth
12 Sept
Bournemouth
2 : 2
Brentford
08 Sept
Bournemouth
4 : 0
Lincoln City
05 Sept
Newcastle Utd
2 : 2
Bournemouth
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City 5 5 0 0 13:5 15
2 Arsenal 5 4 0 1 8:4 12
3 Brighton 5 3 1 1 16:5 10
4 Brentford 5 2 3 0 10:4 9
5 Leeds 5 2 3 0 7:3 9
6 Liverpool 5 2 3 0 7:4 9
7 Everton 5 2 3 0 6:3 9
8 Hull City 5 2 2 1 6:4 8
9 Newcastle Utd 5 2 2 1 9:9 8
10 Chelsea 5 2 1 2 10:12 7
11 Ipswich 5 2 0 3 7:11 6
12 Manchester United 5 1 2 2 8:8 5
13 Nottingham 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
14 Sunderland 5 1 1 3 6:10 4
15 Crystal Palace 5 1 1 3 6:11 4
16 Aston Villa 5 1 1 3 4:9 4
17 Bournemouth 5 0 3 2 6:8 3
18 Coventry 5 1 0 4 1:10 3
19 Fulham 5 0 2 3 5:8 2
20 Tottenham 5 0 2 3 2:8 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)