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Chesham vs Chelmsford - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League South
lør. 10. okt. 2026
VS
02:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Chesham host Chelmsford in the National League South. This one's hard to separate. Chesham have averaged 2.14 scored and 1.79 conceded recently, against Chelmsford's 1.75 scored and 1.07 conceded. Head-to-head, Chesham have won 0 to Chelmsford's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on 18. apr. 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.75 vs 1.25, favoring Chelmsford. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

30%
Chesham
39%
Uavgjort
31%
Chelmsford
Uavgjort-prognose: 39% Favoritt: Draw

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

65% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Chesham have won more games recently than Chelmsford.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular National League South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 38%
Over 4.5 Mål 17%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 75.4%
Chesham Rent bur 19%
Chelmsford Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Chesham Chelmsford
Kamper Spilt 29 28
Seire 12 11
Uavgjort 3 13
Tap 14 4
Mål Scoret 2.14 1.75
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.79 1.07
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.75 1.25
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

18. apr. 2026 National League South
Chesham vs Chelmsford
0:2
30. aug. 2025 National League South
Chelmsford vs Chesham
2:1
1. feb. 2025 National League South
Chelmsford vs Chesham
1:1
21. jan. 2025 National League South
Chesham vs Chelmsford
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Chesham 31 / 100
Chelmsford 30 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Chesham Chelmsford

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Chesham Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Chesham scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Chelmsford's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Chesham stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Måltrender

Chesham VS Chelmsford
2.63 Mål scoret 1.13
1.38 Mål sluppet inn 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 13%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Chesham

(Home)
03 Oct
Chesham
4 : 3
Real Bedford
26 Sept
Chesham
0 : 4
Maidenhead
19 Sept
Chesham
7 : 2
Ware
12 Sept
Horsham FC
1 : 4
Chesham
08 Sept
Chesham
1 : 2
Billericay
Page 1 of 6

Chelmsford

(Away)
03 Oct
Brackley
0 : 2
Chelmsford
26 Sept
Chelmsford
0 : 0
Horsham FC
19 Sept
Canvey Island
0 : 1
Chelmsford
12 Sept
Hampton & Richmond
1 : 1
Chelmsford
08 Sept
Dorking Wanderers
3 : 3
Chelmsford
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maidstone 10 6 1 3 18:11 19
2 Dagenham & Red. 10 6 1 3 10:7 19
3 Salisbury 10 5 3 2 18:7 18
4 Truro 10 5 3 2 15:7 18
5 Billericay 10 5 3 2 21:14 18
6 Weston-super-Mare 10 5 2 3 18:10 17
7 Farnham 10 5 2 3 16:14 17
8 Dover Ath. 10 5 2 3 17:16 17
9 Dorking Wanderers 10 4 4 2 22:16 16
10 Tonbridge 10 4 2 4 19:11 14
11 Maidenhead 10 3 4 3 12:11 13
12 Hemel Hempstead 10 3 4 3 10:10 13
13 Torquay 10 3 4 3 13:14 13
14 Ebbsfleet 6 3 3 0 7:3 12
15 Folkestone 10 3 3 4 15:12 12
16 Chelmsford 9 1 8 0 9:8 11
17 Horsham FC 9 2 5 2 9:10 11
18 Farnborough 9 3 2 4 8:13 11
19 Chesham 10 3 1 6 16:19 10
20 AFC Totton 9 3 1 5 8:15 10
21 Braintree 10 3 1 6 17:25 10
22 Hampton & Richmond 10 2 2 6 11:24 8
23 Walton & Hersham 10 1 2 7 9:27 5
24 Slough Town 10 1 1 8 10:24 4
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)