Sport Picks
Chester vs Merthyr Town - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
National League North 
Kamphendelser
44'
44'
Lucas L.
Kampsammendrag
The National League North game between Chester and Merthyr Town finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Merthyr Town.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
42%
20%
38%
Uavgjort-prognose: 20% Favoritt: Chester
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
67%
/ Middels Sikkerhet
- Chester carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Chester a 42% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 70%
Over 4.5 Mål 32%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 74.6%
Chester Rent bur 20%
Merthyr Town Rent bur 13%
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Chester | Merthyr Town |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 29 | 29 |
| Seire | 16 | 8 |
| Uavgjort | 5 | 7 |
| Tap | 8 | 14 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.28 | 1.45 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 0.86 | 1.62 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.13 | 1.13 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
8. sep. 2026 National League North
Chester vs Merthyr Town
0:1
10. mars 2026 National League North
Merthyr Town vs Chester
1:2
4. okt. 2025 National League North
Chester vs Merthyr Town
2:2
Nøkkelspiller-Analyse
Toppspillere og forventet involvering
Chester Sammenlign
Snitt xG / kamp 0.87
Snitt xA / kamp 0.56
Merthyr Town Sammenlign
Toppscorer Lucas L.
1 Mål Snitt xG / kamp 1.03
Snitt xA / kamp 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Chester 42 / 100
Merthyr Town 37 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Chester Merthyr Town
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Hovedtips Draw (X)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Merthyr Town let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.
Chester found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).
Games between these two average 2.67 goals.
Chester went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Måltrender
Chester VS Merthyr Town
1.25 Mål scoret 1.13
1.13 Mål sluppet inn 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Chester
(Home) 03 Oct
Spennymoor
4 : 1 Chester
26 Sept
Chester
4 : 1 Worksop
19 Sept
Lower Breck
1 : 2 Chester
12 Sept
Buxton
3 : 1 Chester
08 Sept
Chester
0 : 1 Merthyr Town
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Chester
4 : 1 Worksop
08 Sept
Chester
0 : 1 Merthyr Town
31 Aug
Chester
0 : 1 Morecambe
22 Aug
Chester
1 : 0 Spalding United
15 Aug
Chester
2 : 0 King’s Lynn
Page 1 of 3
Merthyr Town
(Away) 26 Sept
Merthyr Town
1 : 2 Marine
22 Sept
Truro
2 : 0 Merthyr Town
19 Sept
Merthyr Town
1 : 1 Truro
12 Sept
Scarborough Athletic
0 : 0 Merthyr Town
08 Sept
Chester
0 : 1 Merthyr Town
Page 1 of 6
22 Sept
Truro
2 : 0 Merthyr Town
12 Sept
Scarborough Athletic
0 : 0 Merthyr Town
08 Sept
Chester
0 : 1 Merthyr Town
31 Aug
Buxton
2 : 1 Merthyr Town
22 Aug
South Shields
1 : 1 Merthyr Town
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hereford | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 22:5 | 23 |
| 2 | Macclesfield | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 13:6 | 21 |
| 3 | Oxford City | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18:7 | 20 |
| 4 | South Shields | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:13 | 20 |
| 5 | Hebburn Town | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:16 | 18 |
| 6 | Spalding United | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14:8 | 17 |
| 7 | Chester | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:9 | 17 |
| 8 | King’s Lynn | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20:15 | 16 |
| 9 | Buxton | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18:18 | 16 |
| 10 | Bedford | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:14 | 16 |
| 11 | Morecambe | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:9 | 14 |
| 12 | Chorley | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16:17 | 14 |
| 13 | Merthyr Town | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:11 | 13 |
| 14 | Scarborough Athletic | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:12 | 12 |
| 15 | Hednesford | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17:17 | 12 |
| 16 | Marine | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 12:12 | 12 |
| 17 | Harborough | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | 12 |
| 18 | Worksop | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 10:16 | 12 |
| 19 | Brackley | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:19 | 12 |
| 20 | Southport | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 21 | Telford | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8:15 | 9 |
| 22 | Darlington FC | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12:21 | 7 |
| 23 | Spennymoor | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11:21 | 7 |
| 24 | Radcliffe | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 9:20 | 6 |
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