Sport Picks
Kampsammendrag
A one-off knockout match in the FA Cup. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Chorley have averaged 1.19 scored and 1.35 conceded recently, against Worcester's 1.07 scored and 1.15 conceded. Head-to-head, Chorley have won 4 to Worcester's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on 14. apr. 2017, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.00) point toward Chorley. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- Worcester haven't matched Chorley's recent run of results.
- Model gives Chorley a 70% chance of winning this.
- Chorley have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Chorley, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
- Chorley have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Chorley | Worcester |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 26 | 27 |
| Seire | 9 | 8 |
| Uavgjort | 5 | 10 |
| Tap | 12 | 9 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.19 | 1.07 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.35 | 1.15 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.31 | 1.00 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Chorley's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 26 recent games.
Worcester's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 27 matches.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Chorley has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.