Sport Picks
Club Atletico Morelia vs Leones Negros - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mexico
Liga de Expansion MX Estadio Morelos, Morelia 
Kampsammendrag
The first leg ended 2-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Club Atletico Morelia at 1.5 goals for, 1.32 against; Leones Negros at 1.7 for, 1.48 against. Past meetings favor Leones Negros slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 20. sep. 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.44 - 1.75) back Club Atletico Morelia to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- Form's been kind to Club Atletico Morelia lately — more wins on the board than Leones Negros.
- 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Club Atletico Morelia have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Club Atletico Morelia, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Club Atletico Morelia | Leones Negros |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 28 | 27 |
| Seire | 13 | 11 |
| Uavgjort | 4 | 7 |
| Tap | 11 | 9 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.5 | 1.7 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.32 | 1.48 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.44 | 1.75 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Leones Negros's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 27 matches.
Club Atletico Morelia found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Club Atletico Morelia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
