Sport Picks
Club Nacional vs Defensor Sp. - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Uruguay
Liga AUF Uruguaya Gran Parque Central, Montevideo 
Kamphendelser
27'
27'
Barrios G.
33'
33'
Frugone A.
35'
35'
Calvo F.
Kampsammendrag
Club Nacional in this Liga AUF Uruguaya matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Club Nacional.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
50%
28%
22%
Uavgjort-prognose: 28% Favoritt: Club Nacional
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
76%
/ Høy Sikkerhet
- Form's been kind to Club Nacional lately — more wins on the board than Defensor Sp..
- 50% — that's where the model lands on Club Nacional taking it.
- Regular Liga AUF Uruguaya form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Over 0.5 Mål 85%
Over 1.5 Mål 56.5%
Over 2.5 Mål 25%
Over 3.5 Mål 22%
Over 4.5 Mål 10%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 34%
Club Nacional Rent bur 68%
Defensor Sp. Rent bur 10%
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Club Nacional | Defensor Sp. |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 32 | 29 |
| Seire | 16 | 6 |
| Uavgjort | 5 | 11 |
| Tap | 11 | 12 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.38 | 0.86 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.22 | 1.24 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.38 | 0.88 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
20. sep. 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Club Nacional vs Defensor Sp.
3:2
21. mars 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Defensor Sp. vs Club Nacional
2:1
9. nov. 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Defensor Sp. vs Club Nacional
1:1
18. mai 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Club Nacional vs Defensor Sp.
2:1
6. des. 2024 Copa Uruguay
Club Nacional vs Defensor Sp.
2:3
Nøkkelspiller-Analyse
Toppspillere og forventet involvering
Club Nacional Sammenlign
Toppscorer Gomez M.
1 Mål Assister Calvo F.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.06
Snitt xA / kamp 0.69
Defensor Sp. Sammenlign
Toppscorer Barrios G.
1 Mål Assister Medina N.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 0.8
Snitt xA / kamp 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Club Nacional 59 / 100
Defensor Sp. 22 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Club Nacional Defensor Sp.
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Hovedtips Club Nacional Win (1)
Sekundærtips Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Prognose No (NG)
Over/Under Tips Under 2.5
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Club Nacional stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Club Nacional scored in 75% of their last 32 games.
Defensor Sp. has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Måltrender
Club Nacional VS Defensor Sp.
1.63 Mål scoret 0.88
0.88 Mål sluppet inn 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Club Nacional
(Home) 05 Oct
Club Nacional
2 : 0 Montevideo City
26 Sept
Cerro Largo
0 : 2 Club Nacional
20 Sept
Club Nacional
3 : 2 Defensor Sp.
16 Sept
Progreso
0 : 1 Club Nacional
12 Sept
Wanderers
1 : 1 Club Nacional
Page 1 of 7
05 Oct
Club Nacional
2 : 0 Montevideo City
20 Sept
Club Nacional
3 : 2 Defensor Sp.
06 Sept
Club Nacional
2 : 2 Juventud
27 Aug
Club Nacional
0 : 0 Albion
23 Aug
Club Nacional
1 : 0 Progreso
Page 1 of 4
Defensor Sp.
(Away) 03 Oct
Albion
3 : 2 Defensor Sp.
30 Sept
Defensor Sp.
0 : 1 Plaza Colonia
27 Sept
Defensor Sp.
1 : 0 Danubio
20 Sept
Club Nacional
3 : 2 Defensor Sp.
13 Sept
Defensor Sp.
1 : 0 Maldonado
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Albion
3 : 2 Defensor Sp.
20 Sept
Club Nacional
3 : 2 Defensor Sp.
09 Sept
Cerro Largo
1 : 1 Defensor Sp.
06 Sept
Central Esp.
1 : 1 Defensor Sp.
22 Aug
Cerro Largo
1 : 1 Defensor Sp.
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool M. | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:7 | 20 |
| 2 | Montevideo City | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 19:10 | 19 |
| 3 | Penarol | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15:6 | 19 |
| 4 | Maldonado | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:5 | 17 |
| 5 | Club Nacional | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 17 |
| 6 | Wanderers | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12:11 | 15 |
| 7 | Juventud | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 10:6 | 14 |
| 8 | CA Cerro | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | 14 |
| 9 | Racing Montevideo | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:8 | 12 |
| 10 | Progreso | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 9:12 | 12 |
| 11 | Boston River | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | 9 |
| 12 | Defensor Sp. | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:16 | 8 |
| 13 | Danubio | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4:10 | 7 |
| 14 | Cerro Largo | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 6:12 | 5 |
| 15 | Central Esp. | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5:16 | 5 |
| 16 | Albion | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9:18 | 3 |
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs)
