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Stadium Background

Colchester vs Luton - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

EFL Trophy Colchester Community Stadium (JobServe), Colchester
lør. 3. okt. 2026
1 - 2
02:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kamphendelser

30'
Bytte
Kodua G. Inn: Lawrence E.
Ut: Kodua G.
45'
Cowley D.
46'
Bytte
Naismith K. Inn: Andersen M.
Ut: Naismith K.

Kampsammendrag

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

13%
Colchester
17%
Uavgjort
70%
Luton
Uavgjort-prognose: 17% Favoritt: Luton

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

88% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Look at the last few games and Luton come out ahead of Colchester on wins alone.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Luton taking it.
  • Luton arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Colchester, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 99%
Over 1.5 Mål 88%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 70%
Over 4.5 Mål 32%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 73%
Colchester Rent bur 13%
Luton Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Colchester Luton
Kamper Spilt 31 29
Seire 9 17
Uavgjort 8 6
Tap 14 6
Mål Scoret 1.26 2.14
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.29 1.28
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.38 1.69
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

3. okt. 2026 EFL Trophy
Colchester vs Luton
1:2
30. mars 2018 League Two
Colchester vs Luton
2:1
19. aug. 2017 League Two
Luton vs Colchester
3:0
25. mars 2017 League Two
Colchester vs Luton
2:1
26. des. 2016 League Two
Luton vs Colchester
0:1

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Colchester Sammenlign

Toppscorer Ihionvien B.
1 Mål
Snitt xG / kamp 1.06
Snitt xA / kamp 0.69

Luton Sammenlign

Toppscorer Cole D.
1 Mål
Snitt xG / kamp 1.54
Snitt xA / kamp 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Colchester 14 / 100
Luton 65 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Colchester Luton

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Luton Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:7
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Colchester's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Luton's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Colchester went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Måltrender

Colchester VS Luton
1.13 Mål scoret 1.75
1.63 Mål sluppet inn 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Colchester

(Home)
03 Oct
Colchester
1 : 2
Luton
26 Sept
Shrewsbury
2 : 2
Colchester
22 Sept
Peterborough
3 : 1
Colchester
19 Sept
Colchester
1 : 1
Cheltenham
12 Sept
Colchester
1 : 1
Crewe
Page 1 of 7

Luton

(Away)
03 Oct
Colchester
1 : 2
Luton
22 Sept
Luton
6 : 0
Ipswich U21
19 Sept
Luton
0 : 1
Bradford City
10 Sept
Stevenage
2 : 1
Luton
05 Sept
Luton
1 : 1
Leyton Orient
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sheffield Wed 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
2 Accrington 1 1 0 0 3:3 2
3 Sunderland U21 1 0 0 1 3:3 1
4 Salford 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wigan 2 2 0 0 6:4 6
2 Crewe 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
3 Blackpool 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
4 Aston Villa U21 2 0 0 2 3:7 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Newcastle Utd U21 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
2 Bradford City 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
3 Rotherham 1 1 0 0 1:1 2
4 York City 2 0 0 2 2:4 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chesterfield 2 2 0 0 6:4 5
2 Manchester City U21 2 1 0 1 7:6 3
3 Port Vale 1 0 0 1 1:1 1
4 Mansfield 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stockport County 1 1 0 0 6:3 3
2 Tranmere 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
3 Shrewsbury 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
4 Everton U21 1 0 0 1 3:6 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Notts County 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
2 Nottingham U21 1 1 0 0 1:1 2
3 Burton 1 0 0 1 1:1 1
4 Grimsby 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leeds U21 1 1 0 0 4:3 3
2 Oldham 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
3 Barnsley 1 0 0 1 3:4 0
4 Fleetwood Town 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Huddersfield 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
2 Liverpool U21 1 1 0 0 3:3 2
3 Rochdale 1 0 0 1 3:3 1
4 Doncaster 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Exeter 2 1 0 1 4:2 4
2 Cheltenham 1 1 0 0 2:2 2
3 Oxford Utd 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Tottenham U21 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leicester 1 1 0 0 6:1 3
2 Stevenage 1 1 0 0 6:1 3
3 Walsall 1 0 0 1 1:6 0
4 Fulham U21 1 0 0 1 1:6 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wycombe 2 1 0 1 3:2 4
2 Reading 1 1 0 0 1:1 2
3 Chelsea U21 2 1 0 1 3:4 2
4 Bristol Rovers 1 0 0 1 2:2 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luton 2 2 0 0 7:1 5
2 Peterborough 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
3 Colchester 2 0 0 2 2:4 1
4 Ipswich U21 1 0 0 1 0:6 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 13)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Plymouth 1 1 0 0 5:1 3
2 Newport 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
3 Crystal Palace U21 2 1 0 1 3:6 3
4 Swindon 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 14)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barnet 1 1 0 0 5:1 3
2 Arsenal U21 2 1 0 1 3:6 3
3 Leyton Orient 2 1 0 1 2:3 2
4 AFC Wimbledon 1 0 0 1 1:1 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 15)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cambridge Utd 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
2 Brighton U21 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
3 Gillingham 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
4 Northampton 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 16)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Milton Keynes Dons 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
2 Brentford U21 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
3 Bromley 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
4 Crawley Town 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)