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Stadium Background

Croatia vs Spain - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Stadion Poljud, Split
Croatia Logo

Croatia

1 - 2
Slutt
Spain Logo

Spain

Vårt Tips

Kamphendelser

14'
Bilic S.
17' Event
Perisic I.
22'
Perisic I.
Sammendrag Seier Mål Form H2H Taktikk Spillere Indekser Tips Kampforløp Presisjon Sammenlign

Kampsammendrag

The UEFA Nations League game between Croatia and Spain finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Spain.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

4%
Croatia
6%
Uavgjort
90%
Spain
Uavgjort-prognose: 6% Favoritt: Spain

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

95% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Look at the last few games and Spain come out ahead of Croatia on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Spain taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Spain have taken 5 of them.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 70%
Over 4.5 Mål 32%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 72.2%
Croatia Rent bur 10%
Spain Rent bur 18%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Croatia Spain
Kamper Spilt 32 37
Seire 17 30
Uavgjort 5 6
Tap 10 1
Mål Scoret 1.81 2.51
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.44 0.78
Forventede Mål (xG) 0.81 2.25
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

6. okt. 2026 UEFA Nations League
Croatia vs Spain
1:2
29. sep. 2026 UEFA Nations League
Spain vs Croatia
4:1
15. juni 2024 Euro
Spain vs Croatia
3:0
18. juni 2023 UEFA Nations League
Croatia vs Spain
0:1
28. juni 2021 Euro
Croatia vs Spain
3:5

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Croatia Sammenlign

Toppscorer Perisic I.
1 Mål
Snitt xG / kamp 0.62
Snitt xA / kamp 0.41

Spain Sammenlign

Toppscorer Merino M.
2 Mål
Snitt xG / kamp 2.05
Snitt xA / kamp 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Croatia 10 / 100
Spain 85 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Croatia Spain

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Spain Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 4:5
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Attacking prowess: Croatia scored in 84% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Spain let in goals in 49% of their last 37 matches.

Croatia went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Måltrender

Croatia VS Spain
1.38 Mål scoret 2
2.5 Mål sluppet inn 0.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Croatia

(Home)
06 Oct
Croatia
1 : 2
Spain
03 Oct
Croatia
0 : 7
England
29 Sept
Spain
4 : 1
Croatia
26 Sept
Czech Republic
1 : 2
Croatia
02 Jul
Portugal
2 : 1
Croatia
Page 1 of 7

Spain

(Away)
06 Oct
Croatia
1 : 2
Spain
03 Oct
Spain
3 : 1
Czech Republic
29 Sept
Spain
4 : 1
Croatia
26 Sept
England
2 : 3
Spain
19 Jul
Spain
1 : 0
Argentina
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
2 Italy 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
3 Belgium 4 2 0 2 6:5 6
4 Turkey 4 0 0 4 2:11 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands 4 2 2 0 7:5 8
2 Greece 4 2 2 0 5:3 8
3 Germany 4 1 2 1 3:2 5
4 Serbia 4 0 0 4 3:8 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain 4 4 0 0 12:5 12
2 England 4 3 0 1 14:3 9
3 Croatia 4 1 0 3 4:14 3
4 Czech Republic 4 0 0 4 2:10 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal 4 4 0 0 9:4 12
2 Denmark 4 2 0 2 7:7 6
3 Wales 4 1 0 3 2:5 3
4 Norway 4 1 0 3 6:8 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)