Sport Picks
Defensor Sp. vs CA Cerro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Uruguay
Liga AUF Uruguaya Estadio Luis Franzini, Montevideo 
Kampsammendrag
Defensor Sp. host CA Cerro in the Liga AUF Uruguaya. Little to choose between these two on current form. CA Cerro have shipped 1.46 goals a game lately, while Defensor Sp. have conceded 1.23 and scored 0.83. Head-to-head, Defensor Sp. have won 3 to CA Cerro's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on 3. aug. 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 1.06) point toward CA Cerro. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- Defensor Sp. haven't matched CA Cerro's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Defensor Sp.'s way, sitting at 36%.
- Regular Liga AUF Uruguaya form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Defensor Sp. | CA Cerro |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 30 | 28 |
| Seire | 6 | 9 |
| Uavgjort | 11 | 5 |
| Tap | 13 | 14 |
| Mål Scoret | 0.83 | 0.82 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.23 | 1.46 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.06 | 1.06 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Defensor Sp.'s goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
CA Cerro let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
CA Cerro lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Måltrender
Recent Form & Match History
Defensor Sp.
(Home)CA Cerro
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool M. | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:7 | 20 |
| 2 | Montevideo City | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19:8 | 19 |
| 3 | Maldonado | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:5 | 17 |
| 4 | Penarol | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:6 | 16 |
| 5 | Club Nacional | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:9 | 14 |
| 6 | CA Cerro | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 14 |
| 7 | Juventud | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:6 | 13 |
| 8 | Racing Montevideo | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:7 | 12 |
| 9 | Wanderers | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 10 | Progreso | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 9:12 | 12 |
| 11 | Boston River | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:12 | 8 |
| 12 | Defensor Sp. | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:16 | 8 |
| 13 | Cerro Largo | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 5:10 | 5 |
| 14 | Central Esp. | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5:16 | 5 |
| 15 | Danubio | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2:9 | 4 |
| 16 | Albion | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9:18 | 3 |
