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Denmark vs Portugal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Parken Stadium, Copenhagen
Denmark Logo

Denmark

2 - 4
Slutt
Portugal Logo

Portugal

Vårt Tips

Kamphendelser

13' Event
Cancelo J.
Assist: Ramos G.
23' Event
Damsgaard M.
Assist: Maehle J.
25' Event
Ramos G.
Assist: Fernandes B.
Sammendrag Seier Mål Form H2H Taktikk Spillere Indekser Tips Kampforløp Presisjon Sammenlign

Kampsammendrag

Portugal in this UEFA Nations League matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Portugal.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

31%
Denmark
39%
Uavgjort
30%
Portugal
Uavgjort-prognose: 39% Favoritt: Draw

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

65% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Form's been kind to Portugal lately — more wins on the board than Denmark.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Portugal have taken 4 of them.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 31.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 14%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 71.4%
Denmark Rent bur 15%
Portugal Rent bur 12%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Denmark Portugal
Kamper Spilt 32 36
Seire 15 25
Uavgjort 8 6
Tap 9 5
Mål Scoret 1.78 2.17
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.16 0.92
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.19 1.56
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

1. okt. 2026 UEFA Nations League
Denmark vs Portugal
2:4
23. mars 2025 UEFA Nations League
Portugal vs Denmark
5:2
20. mars 2025 UEFA Nations League
Denmark vs Portugal
1:0
8. okt. 2015 Euro
Portugal vs Denmark
1:0
14. okt. 2014 Euro
Denmark vs Portugal
0:1

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Denmark Sammenlign

Toppscorer Damsgaard M.
1 Mål
Assister Hojlund R.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 0.92
Snitt xA / kamp 0.59

Portugal Sammenlign

Toppscorer Cancelo J.
1 Mål
Assister Ramos G.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.42
Snitt xA / kamp 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Denmark 31 / 100
Portugal 29 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Denmark Portugal

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Portugal Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Denmark scored in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Portugal's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 36 matches.

Solid form: Denmark remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Måltrender

Denmark VS Portugal
1.88 Mål scoret 1.75
1.38 Mål sluppet inn 0.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Denmark

(Home)
04 Oct
Wales
0 : 1
Denmark
01 Oct
Denmark
2 : 4
Portugal
27 Sept
Denmark
2 : 0
Wales
24 Sept
Norway
3 : 2
Denmark
07 Jun
Denmark
2 : 1
Ukraine
Page 1 of 7

Portugal

(Away)
04 Oct
Portugal
2 : 1
Norway
01 Oct
Denmark
2 : 4
Portugal
27 Sept
Norway
1 : 2
Portugal
24 Sept
Portugal
1 : 0
Wales
06 Jul
Portugal
0 : 1
Spain
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
2 Italy 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
3 Belgium 4 2 0 2 6:5 6
4 Turkey 4 0 0 4 2:11 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands 4 2 2 0 7:5 8
2 Greece 4 2 2 0 5:3 8
3 Germany 4 1 2 1 3:2 5
4 Serbia 4 0 0 4 3:8 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain 4 4 0 0 12:5 12
2 England 4 3 0 1 14:3 9
3 Croatia 4 1 0 3 4:14 3
4 Czech Republic 4 0 0 4 2:10 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal 4 4 0 0 9:4 12
2 Denmark 4 2 0 2 7:7 6
3 Wales 4 1 0 3 2:5 3
4 Norway 4 1 0 3 6:8 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)