Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Derby vs Wrexham - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Championship Pride Park, Derby
lør. 10. okt. 2026
VS
02:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Derby host Wrexham in the Championship. Little to choose between these two on current form. Wrexham have shipped 1.55 goals a game lately, while Derby have conceded 1.47 and scored 1.27. Past meetings favor Derby slightly — 1-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 4. jan. 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 1.31) point toward Wrexham. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

36%
Derby
30%
Uavgjort
34%
Wrexham
Uavgjort-prognose: 30% Favoritt: Derby

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

66% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Wrexham at 1.31 per game, Derby at 1.27.
  • Derby are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 38%
Over 3.5 Mål 13%
Over 4.5 Mål 6%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 74.2%
Derby Rent bur 18%
Wrexham Rent bur 12%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Derby Wrexham
Kamper Spilt 30 29
Seire 11 11
Uavgjort 3 7
Tap 16 11
Mål Scoret 1.27 1.31
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.47 1.55
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.19 1.31
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

4. jan. 2026 Championship
Derby vs Wrexham
1:2
27. sep. 2025 Championship
Wrexham vs Derby
1:1
6. jan. 2007 FA Cup
Derby vs Wrexham
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Derby 36 / 100
Wrexham 33 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Derby Wrexham

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Draw (X)
Sekundærtips Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Under 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Derby's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Wrexham has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Derby went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Måltrender

Derby VS Wrexham
0.88 Mål scoret 0.88
1.75 Mål sluppet inn 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Derby

(Home)
19 Sept
Burnley
1 : 1
Derby
12 Sept
Derby
1 : 2
Birmingham
09 Sept
Derby
0 : 1
West Brom
05 Sept
West Ham
3 : 0
Derby
01 Sept
Portsmouth
0 : 2
Derby
Page 1 of 6

Wrexham

(Away)
19 Sept
Wrexham
2 : 1
Southampton
11 Sept
West Ham
6 : 0
Wrexham
08 Sept
Wrexham
1 : 1
Burnley
05 Sept
Swansea
0 : 0
Wrexham
02 Sept
Millwall
0 : 3
Wrexham
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Swansea 8 5 2 1 13:6 17
2 West Ham 8 4 3 1 22:11 15
3 Middlesbrough 8 4 3 1 16:12 15
4 Wolves 7 4 2 1 15:10 14
5 West Brom 8 4 2 2 10:8 14
6 QPR 8 3 4 1 10:7 13
7 Stoke City 8 4 1 3 13:12 13
8 Bristol City 8 4 1 3 11:12 13
9 Charlton 8 3 3 2 7:10 12
10 Birmingham 8 2 5 1 12:11 11
11 Millwall 8 3 2 3 15:15 11
12 Lincoln City 8 3 2 3 7:8 11
13 Southampton 8 4 2 2 19:10 10
14 Wrexham 8 2 4 2 9:12 10
15 Bolton 8 3 1 4 11:15 10
16 Blackburn 8 2 3 3 12:12 9
17 Norwich 8 3 0 5 16:17 9
18 Sheffield Utd 8 2 3 3 9:11 9
19 Portsmouth 7 2 2 3 9:10 8
20 Watford 8 2 2 4 7:10 8
21 Cardiff 8 1 4 3 10:12 7
22 Derby 8 1 2 5 7:14 5
23 Preston 8 1 1 6 8:15 4
24 Burnley 8 0 4 4 9:17 4
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)