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Dunfermline vs Kelty Hearts - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup East End Park, Dunfermline
tir. 24. nov. 2026
VS
07:45 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

The first leg ended 2-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Dunfermline have averaged 1.33 scored and 0.9 conceded recently, against Kelty Hearts's 1.44 scored and 2.15 conceded. Past meetings favor Dunfermline slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 4. juli 2026, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 1.88 vs 1.31, favoring Dunfermline. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

90%
Dunfermline
6%
Uavgjort
4%
Kelty Hearts
Uavgjort-prognose: 6% Favoritt: Dunfermline

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

95% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Look at the last few games and Dunfermline come out ahead of Kelty Hearts on wins alone.
  • Model gives Dunfermline a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Dunfermline have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Dunfermline, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Dunfermline have taken 4 of them.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 31.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 14%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 71.8%
Dunfermline Rent bur 18%
Kelty Hearts Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Dunfermline Kelty Hearts
Kamper Spilt 30 27
Seire 13 11
Uavgjort 10 0
Tap 7 16
Mål Scoret 1.33 1.44
Mål Sluppet Inn 0.9 2.15
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.88 1.31
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

4. juli 2026 Club Friendly
Kelty Hearts vs Dunfermline
0:3
7. feb. 2026 Scottish Cup
Dunfermline vs Kelty Hearts
2:0
5. juli 2025 Club Friendly
Kelty Hearts vs Dunfermline
1:3
12. okt. 2024 Challenge Cup
Dunfermline vs Kelty Hearts
2:1
1. apr. 2023 League One
Dunfermline vs Kelty Hearts
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Dunfermline 85 / 100
Kelty Hearts 10 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Dunfermline Kelty Hearts

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Dunfermline Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Defensive concern: Kelty Hearts conceded in 89% of 27 recent games.

Recent resilience: Dunfermline stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Dunfermline scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Måltrender

Dunfermline VS Kelty Hearts
1.75 Mål scoret 1.5
1.13 Mål sluppet inn 2
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dunfermline

(Home)
06 Nov
Raith
0 : 0
Dunfermline
03 Nov
Bonnyrigg Rose
2 : 4
Dunfermline
31 Oct
Dunfermline
5 : 1
Inverness
27 Oct
Stenhousemuir
0 : 1
Dunfermline
24 Oct
Queen's Park
0 : 1
Dunfermline
Page 1 of 6

Kelty Hearts

(Away)
03 Nov
Morton
0 : 1
Kelty Hearts
31 Oct
Kelty Hearts
0 : 1
Elgin City
24 Oct
Edinburgh City
4 : 1
Kelty Hearts
17 Oct
Kelty Hearts
2 : 1
Forfar Athletic
13 Oct
East Kilbride
2 : 1
Kelty Hearts
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Spartans 0
Livingston 2
St. Mirren B 1
Peterhead 2
Hamilton 2
Raith 1
Formartine Utd 0
Cove Rangers 2
East Kilbride 7
Stirling 3
Edinburgh City 0
Partick 3
Bonnyrigg Rose 2
Dunfermline 4
Morton 0
Kelty Hearts 1
Ross County 2
Celtic B 0
Stenhousemuir 4
Berwick 1
Arbroath 1
Queen of the South 0
Airdrieonians 5
Elgin City 0
Annan 0
Ayr 2
Inverness 1
Montrose 0
Clydebank FC 1
Alloa 0
Aberdeen B 1
Queen's Park 2
1/8-finals
Livingston -
Peterhead -
Hamilton -
Cove Rangers -
East Kilbride -
Partick -
Dunfermline -
Kelty Hearts -
Ross County -
Stenhousemuir -
Arbroath -
Airdrieonians -
Ayr -
Inverness -
Clydebank FC -
Queen's Park -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -